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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Paris FC
T S S T S
2–4
Full-time
St Etienne
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
34%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 8. · St Etienne 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 29 16 12 1 +26 60
2 Bordeaux 30 16 8 6 +19 56
3 Metz 29 14 9 6 +18 51
4 Sochaux 29 14 7 8 +20 49
5 Bastia 30 14 6 10 +1 48
6 Caen 29 12 10 7 +6 46
7 Grenoble 29 12 8 9 +4 44
8 Paris FC 29 11 7 11 +0 40
9 St Etienne 29 10 9 10 +0 39
10 Quevilly Rouen 29 10 9 10 +0 39
11 Guingamp 29 10 8 11 -2 38
12 Amiens 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Rodez 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Valenciennes 29 7 12 10 -7 33
15 Annecy 29 8 9 12 -8 33
16 Pau FC 29 8 9 12 -10 33
17 Laval 29 9 4 16 -11 31
18 Nimes 29 8 5 16 -11 29
19 Dijon 29 6 8 15 -11 26
20 Niort 29 7 5 17 -21 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Oct -22 St Etienne – Paris FC 0–2

Match report

Paris FC St Etienne
1′
⚽ I. Wadji 0–1
N. Nkounkou
1–1 P. Hamel ⚽
M. Guilavogui
14′
2–1 J. Iglesias ⚽
I. Kebbal
32′
35′
⚽ N. Nkounkou 2–2
I. Wadji
36′
🟨 Saïdou Sow
Half-time 2–2
57′
🟨 Lamine Fomba
63′
⚽ N. Nkounkou 2–3
L. Pétrot
Morgan Guilavogui 🟨
64′
Samir Sophian Chergui 🟨
68′
69′
⚽ J. Krasso 2–4
70′
🔁 T. Monconduit
↦ L. Fomba
70′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ V. Lobry
P. Lasne 🔁
↦ J. Iglesias
74′
K. Mbala 🔁
↦ Y. Koré
74′
76′
🟨 Mathieu Cafaro
W. Caddy 🔁
↦ P. Hamel
85′
85′
🔁 D. Chambost
↦ M. Cafaro
85′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ I. Wadji
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
1 V. Demarconnay G
25 Y. Koré D
24 M. Bernauer D
19 O. Kanté D
15 J. Lefort D
14 C. Mandouki M
31 S. Chergui M
21 M. Guilavogui M
10 J. Iglesias M
11 I. Kebbal M
17 P. Hamel F
Bench (7)
6 P. Lasne
26 K. Mbala
22 W. Caddy
40 I. Filipović
13 K. Dabila
7 M. Chahiri
35 S. Sanogo

Coach: T. Laurey

St Etienne

3-5-2
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
4 S. Sow D
19 L. Pétrot D
18 M. Cafaro M
6 B. Bouchouari M
26 L. Fomba M
22 V. Lobry M
27 N. Nkounkou M
17 J. Krasso F
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (7)
7 T. Monconduit
29 A. Moueffek
14 D. Chambost
15 L. Pintor
5 J. Giraudon
42 E. Green
3 M. Nadé

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U
3,14
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.