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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Clermont
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Paris SG
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,05 xG 3,06
33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 10
6 Blocked shots 5
10 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 18. · Paris SG 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brest 6 4 1 1 +2 +3.0 13
2 Nice 6 3 3 0 +4 +3.9 12
3 Paris SG 6 3 2 1 +8 +6.3 11
4 Monaco 6 3 2 1 +7 +5.7 11
5 Reims 6 3 1 2 +3 +1.4 10
6 Strasbourg 7 3 1 3 -2 +0.2 10
7 Le Havre 6 2 3 1 +3 -2.3 9
8 Marseille 6 2 3 1 -1 +4.3 9
9 Rennes 6 1 5 0 +4 +4.9 8
10 Nantes 6 2 2 2 +0 -5.3 8
11 Lille 6 2 2 2 -1 +3.2 8
12 Metz 6 2 2 2 -3 -5.5 8
13 Lens 7 2 1 4 -5 +0.6 7
14 Montpellier 6 1 3 2 +0 +1.0 6
15 Lorient 6 1 3 2 -2 -4.2 6
16 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 -2 -7.7 6
17 Lyon 6 0 2 4 -8 -7.4 2
18 Clermont 6 0 1 5 -7 -2.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Paris SG
Half-time 0–0
Maxime Gonalons 🟨
57′
64′
🔁 Gonçalo Ramos
↦ B. Barcola
64′
🔁 W. Zaïre-Emery
↦ Vitinha
E. Rashani 🔁
↦ M. Gonalons
69′
75′
🟨 Warren Zaïre-Emery
81′
🟨 Kylian Mbappé
M. Zeffane 🔁
↦ J. Allevinah
84′
B. Boutobba 🔁
↦ M. Cham
84′
Cheick Konate 🟨
90′
H. Keïta 🔁
↦ Y. Magnin
92′
93′
🟨 Fabián Ruiz
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Clermont

3-5-2
99 M. Diaw G
36 A. Seidu D
17 A. Pelmard D
5 M. Caufriez D
15 C. Konaté M
12 M. Gonalons M
7 Y. Magnin M
25 J. Gastien M
11 J. Allevinah M
10 M. Cham F
23 S. Nicholson F
Bench (9)
18 E. Rashani
2 M. Zeffane
8 B. Boutobba
6 H. Keïta
95 G. Kyei
9 K. Andrić
21 F. Ogier
20 A. Maurer
1 M. Ndiaye

Coach: P. Gastien

Paris SG

3-4-3
99 G. Donnarumma G
15 Danilo Pereira D
37 M. Škriniar D
5 Marquinhos D
2 A. Hakimi M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
29 B. Barcola M
10 O. Dembélé F
23 R. Kolo Muani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
9 Gonçalo Ramos
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
28 Carlos Soler
4 M. Ugarte
21 L. Hernández
27 C. Ndour
80 Arnau Tenas
26 N. Mukiele
97 L. Kurzawa

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,78
U ✓
4,77
B
1,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.