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Pro League

Referee: B Staessens

Eupen

T S T T T

1–3

Full-time

Anderlecht

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 7/4 matches

Win Ø 52%

29%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

71%

75%

Both score Ø 66%

57%

75%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,03 xG 2,25

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 9. · Anderlecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+13	+9.3	13
2	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.5	12
3	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-8	-5.4	11
4	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
5	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.8	10
6	Antwerp	5	2	3	0	+9	+3.0	9
7	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+2	+2.1	9
8	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
9	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-6	-7.0	7
10	Standard	6	1	3	2	+0	-4.7	6
11	Genk	4	1	2	1	+3	+6.1	5
12	St Truiden	5	1	2	2	-2	-2.9	5
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
14	Kortrijk	7	1	2	4	-10	-0.1	5
15	Charleroi	7	0	4	3	-5	-3.7	4
16	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+8	+5.4	7
3	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
4	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
5	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
6	RWD Molenbeek	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.3	6
7	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+6	+2.1	5
8	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
10	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-5	-4.5	4
11	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
12	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
13	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	+3.5	2
14	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
2	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.9	6
3	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	-2	+2.1	6
4	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
5	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.5	5
6	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
7	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.8	4
8	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
9	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
10	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.5	3
11	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
14	Charleroi	4	0	1	3	-5	-4.3	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
16	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.