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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Hertha

T S T S S

1–2

Full-time

St Pauli

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

5,2

2,8

Scored

3,3

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

29%

57%

Average goals

4,0

2,1

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

1,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 11. · St Pauli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	5	1	2	+7	16
2	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Holstein Kiel	8	5	0	3	+0	15
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	St Pauli	7	3	4	0	+7	13
6	Kaiserslautern	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Magdeburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Hansa Rostock	8	4	0	4	-2	12
9	Paderborn	8	3	2	3	-3	11
10	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Hertha	7	3	0	4	+2	9
12	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	-2	9
13	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Karlsruhe	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Wehen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-5	7
17	Braunschweig	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Osnabruck	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Kaiserslautern	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+8	7
6	Greuther Furth	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Magdeburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Paderborn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Hertha	3	2	0	1	+7	6
11	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Holstein Kiel	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Braunschweig	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Wehen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
17	Osnabruck	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Elversberg	3	1	0	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Hannover	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
4	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Magdeburg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Kaiserslautern	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Karlsruhe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Wehen	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Osnabruck	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.