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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
Millwall
U T S S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Championship · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 44%
36%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
39%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 14. · Sheffield United 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 34 22 7 5 +54 73
2 Blackburn 35 17 9 9 +16 60
3 Bournemouth 31 17 8 6 +23 59
4 Sheffield United 33 17 7 9 +17 58
5 Coventry 34 16 8 10 +11 56
6 Huddersfield 33 15 11 7 +10 56
7 QPR 35 16 8 11 +9 56
8 Middlesbrough 33 16 7 10 +11 55
9 Luton 32 15 8 9 +11 53
10 West Brom 35 14 10 11 +9 52
11 Preston 36 13 13 10 +1 52
12 Nott'm Forest 31 13 8 10 +10 47
13 Stoke 33 13 8 12 +7 47
14 Millwall 33 12 10 11 +0 46
15 Blackpool 34 12 9 13 -2 45
16 Derby 35 11 12 12 -3 45
17 Bristol City 35 12 7 16 -15 43
18 Swansea 32 11 8 13 -8 41
19 Cardiff 35 11 7 17 -9 40
20 Reading 35 11 6 18 -20 39
21 Birmingham 36 9 11 16 -16 38
22 Hull 36 10 7 19 -10 37
23 Barnsley 33 4 9 20 -25 21
24 Peterborough 32 5 6 21 -39 21
25 Peterboro 33 5 6 22 -42 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Sheffield United
G. Evans 🔁
↦ M. Bennett
16′
43′
🟨 Iliman Ndiaye
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 George Baldock
56′
🔁 M. Gibbs-White
↦ I. Ndiaye
1–0 J. Cooper
J. Wallace
61′
D. Ballard 🔁
↦ S. Hutchinson
64′
70′
🟨 Rhys Norrington-Davies
71′
🔁 S. Berge
↦ K. Gordon
87′
🔁 J. Fleck
↦ C. Hourihane
Z. Lovelace 🔁
↦ T. Burey
91′
94′
🟨 Oliver Norwood
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Millwall

3-4-1-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
11 S. Malone M
4 S. Hutchinson D
3 M. Wallace D
5 J. Cooper D
2 D. McNamara M
7 J. Wallace F
17 G. Saville M
24 B. Mitchell M
20 M. Bennett F
32 T. Burey F
Bench (7)
28 G. Evans
26 D. Ballard
49 Z. Lovelace
15 A. Pearce
23 B. Afobe
1 G. Long
21 C. Mahoney

Coach: G. Rowett

Sheffield United

3-4-1-2
18 W. Foderingham G
2 G. Baldock M
19 J. Robinson D
12 J. Egan D
33 R. Norrington-Davies M
34 K. Gordon D
24 C. Hourihane M
16 O. Norwood M
29 I. Ndiaye F
10 B. Sharp F
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
27 M. Gibbs-White
8 S. Berge
4 J. Fleck
1 A. Davies
36 D. Jebbison
39 J. Starbuck
22 B. Davies

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,50
U
3,25
B
2,18
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.