Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: J Brooks

Brighton

U U S T T

0–2

Full-time

Aston Villa

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Brighton Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 31%

28%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

24%

58%

Both score Ø 53%

52%

54%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

12 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 10. · Aston Villa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	26	20	3	3	+46	63
2	Liverpool	26	18	6	2	+50	60
3	Chelsea	25	14	8	3	+31	50
4	Man United	27	13	8	6	+10	47
5	Arsenal	24	14	3	7	+11	45
6	West Ham	26	12	6	8	+11	42
7	Tottenham	25	13	3	9	+3	42
8	Wolves	25	12	4	9	+4	40
9	Southampton	26	8	11	7	-3	35
10	Brighton	25	7	12	6	-3	33
11	Crystal Palace	27	6	12	9	-1	30
12	Leicester	23	7	6	10	-6	27
13	Aston Villa	24	8	3	13	-6	27
14	Newcastle	25	5	10	10	-17	25
15	Brentford	27	6	6	15	-17	24
16	Leeds	26	5	8	13	-31	23
17	Everton	23	6	4	13	-12	22
18	Burnley	24	3	12	9	-8	21
19	Watford	26	5	4	17	-22	19
20	Norwich	26	4	5	17	-40	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	13	10	3	0	+29	33
2	Man City	13	10	1	2	+27	31
3	Arsenal	13	9	2	2	+12	29
4	Man United	14	7	3	4	+5	24
5	Chelsea	12	6	5	1	+17	23
6	Southampton	13	5	7	1	+8	22
7	Tottenham	12	7	1	4	+3	22
8	West Ham	13	6	3	4	+5	21
9	Crystal Palace	14	4	6	4	+5	18
10	Leicester	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Wolves	12	5	2	5	+0	17
12	Everton	11	5	1	5	+1	16
13	Aston Villa	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Newcastle	13	3	6	4	-6	15
15	Brighton	12	3	5	4	-4	14
16	Brentford	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Leeds	13	3	4	6	-10	13
18	Burnley	11	2	6	3	+0	12
19	Norwich	13	2	3	8	-17	9
20	Watford	13	2	1	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	Liverpool	13	8	3	2	+21	27
3	Chelsea	13	8	3	2	+14	27
4	Man United	13	6	5	2	+5	23
5	Wolves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
6	West Ham	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Tottenham	13	6	2	5	+0	20
8	Brighton	13	4	7	2	+1	19
9	Arsenal	11	5	1	5	-1	16
10	Southampton	13	3	4	6	-11	13
11	Watford	13	3	3	7	-3	12
12	Crystal Palace	13	2	6	5	-6	12
13	Aston Villa	12	4	0	8	-6	12
14	Newcastle	12	2	4	6	-11	10
15	Brentford	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Leeds	13	2	4	7	-21	10
17	Burnley	13	1	6	6	-8	9
18	Leicester	11	2	3	6	-9	9
19	Norwich	13	2	2	9	-23	8
20	Everton	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.