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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Heracles
U U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Zwolle
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 22%
26%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
43%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
22 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +65 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 23 17 1 5 +28 52
3 Feyenoord 23 16 3 4 +35 51
4 Twente 24 13 6 5 +8 45
5 AZ Alkmaar 21 13 2 6 +16 41
6 Utrecht 21 10 5 6 +11 35
7 Vitesse 20 10 2 8 -10 32
8 Nijmegen 23 8 7 8 -4 31
9 Cambuur 23 9 3 11 -11 30
10 Groningen 23 6 8 9 -6 26
11 Heerenveen 22 7 4 11 -11 25
12 Heracles 23 6 5 12 -8 23
13 Waalwijk 24 5 8 11 -13 23
14 Go Ahead Eagles 23 6 5 12 -16 23
15 Willem II 23 6 3 14 -21 21
16 For Sittard 22 5 4 13 -26 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 8 11 -18 17
18 Zwolle 23 4 5 14 -19 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Zwolle
1–0 L. de la Torre
A. Ouahim
19′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Anderson
↦ M. Saymak
46′
🔁 M. van der Werff
↦ S. Voet
2–0 S. Bakış
55′
59′
🔁 M. de Waal
↦ T. van den Belt
E. Hansson 🔁
↦ B. Başacıkoğlu
62′
J. Hoogma 🔁
↦ A. Ouahim
62′
70′
🔁 L. Adžić
↦ P. Clement
71′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ E. Reijnders
S. Armenteros 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
75′
E. Sierra 🔁
↦ L. de la Torre
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
30 A. Ouahim M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre M
9 S. Bakış F
7 B. Başacıkoğlu M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (12)
29 E. Hansson
21 J. Hoogma
33 S. Armenteros
8 E. Sierra
12 R. Roosken
19 N. Bakboord
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
20 K. Jakobsen
26 K. Bucker
28 R. Jalving
17 A. Szőke
25 R. Polley

Coach: F. Wormuth

Zwolle

3-5-2
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal M
4 Y. Nakayama D
3 S. Voet D
6 M. Saymak M
10 P. Clement M
20 T. van den Belt M
29 O. Darfalou F
19 D. Redan F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (12)
21 D. Anderson
30 M. van der Werff
22 M. de Waal
11 L. Adžić
7 G. Kastaneer
13 R. Strieder
37 R. Koolwijk
27 J. Vermaning
40 M. Hauptmeijer
31 S. van Wermeskerken
16 J. Schendelaar
9 S. Tedić

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,43
B
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.