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Premier League
Referee: D England
Wolves
T T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Brentford
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
1,3
1,3
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wolves 13. · Brentford 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Liverpool 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Chelsea 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Everton 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Man City 4 3 0 1 +10 9
6 Brighton 4 3 0 1 +2 9
7 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 +0 9
8 West Ham 4 2 2 0 +5 8
9 Leicester 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Brentford 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Aston Villa 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Wolves 4 1 0 3 -1 3
14 Southampton 4 0 3 1 -2 3
15 Watford 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Leeds 5 0 3 2 -7 3
17 Arsenal 4 1 0 3 -8 3
18 Newcastle 5 0 2 3 -7 2
19 Burnley 4 0 1 3 -5 1
20 Norwich 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Brentford
José Sá 🟨
27′
28′
I. Toney 0–1
31′
ℹ️ Ivan Toney
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
B. Mbeumo 0–2
I. Toney
Romain Saïss 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Rico Henry
Hwang Hee-Chan 🔁
↦ R. Saïss
46′
Rúben Neves 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 Shandon Baptiste
64′
🟨 Shandon Baptiste
64′
🟥 Shandon Baptiste
68′
🔁 F. Onyeka
↦ Sergi Canós
Daniel Podence 🔁
↦ Fernando Marçal
72′
74′
🟨 Pontus Jansson
75′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ R. Henry
Fábio Silva 🔁
↦ Nélson Semedo
82′
82′
🔁 M. Jørgensen
↦ P. Jansson
Conor Coady 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
1 José Sá G
5 Fernando Marçal M
16 C. Coady D
22 Nélson Semedo M
23 M. Kilman D
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré F
11 Trincão F
Bench (9)
26 Hwang Hee-Chan
10 Daniel Podence
17 Fábio Silva
32 L. Dendoncker
14 Y. Mosquera
15 W. Boly
3 R. Aït Nouri
21 J. Ruddy
2 K. Hoever

Coach: Bruno Lage

Brentford

3-5-2
1 David Raya G
18 P. Jansson D
20 K. Ajer D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
7 Sergi Canós M
27 V. Janelt M
26 S. Baptiste M
17 I. Toney F
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
15 F. Onyeka
30 M. Rasmussen
22 M. Jørgensen
14 S. Ghoddos
40 Álvaro Fernández
11 Y. Wissa
8 M. Jensen
2 D. Thompson
9 M. Forss

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,90
U
3,27
B ✓
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.