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Championship

Referee: J Simpson

Swansea

T U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Bristol City

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

This season — Championship · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 31%

30%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

59%

38%

Both score Ø 57%

59%

54%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 18. · Bristol City 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	37	24	11	2	+45	83
2	Sheffield United	37	21	7	9	+25	70
3	Middlesbrough	37	20	7	10	+28	67
4	Luton	35	17	10	8	+11	61
5	Blackburn	37	19	4	14	+1	61
6	Millwall	38	17	9	12	+8	60
7	Norwich	38	16	9	13	+11	57
8	West Brom	37	15	10	12	+8	55
9	Watford	38	14	13	11	+5	55
10	Coventry	36	14	11	11	+9	53
11	Preston	38	14	11	13	-9	53
12	Sunderland	36	14	9	13	+7	51
13	Stoke	38	13	9	16	+3	48
14	Bristol City	37	12	12	13	+1	48
15	Hull	38	12	11	15	-10	47
16	Birmingham	38	12	9	17	-8	45
17	Reading	38	13	6	19	-18	45
18	Swansea	37	11	10	16	-8	43
19	QPR	38	11	9	18	-21	42
20	Rotherham	37	9	13	15	-10	40
21	Cardiff	37	10	9	18	-13	39
22	Huddersfield	38	9	9	20	-21	36
23	Blackpool	38	8	11	19	-18	35
24	Wigan	38	7	13	18	-26	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	19	14	5	0	+30	47
2	Blackburn	18	13	1	4	+11	40
3	Middlesbrough	19	11	6	2	+22	39
4	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	+18	36
5	Millwall	19	10	5	4	+12	35
6	West Brom	19	10	5	4	+11	35
7	Reading	19	10	4	5	+7	34
8	Watford	19	9	6	4	+11	33
9	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	+6	29
10	Coventry	17	8	5	4	+6	29
11	Norwich	19	8	4	7	+5	28
12	Luton	18	7	7	4	+5	28
13	Rotherham	18	7	5	6	+7	26
14	Hull	19	7	4	8	-5	25
15	Swansea	18	7	3	8	+0	24
16	Cardiff	19	6	6	7	-1	24
17	Stoke	19	6	5	8	+2	23
18	Birmingham	19	6	5	8	+1	23
19	Sunderland	18	6	5	7	-1	23
20	Huddersfield	19	6	5	8	-4	23
21	QPR	19	6	4	9	-7	22
22	Blackpool	19	5	6	8	-2	21
23	Preston	19	5	6	8	-8	21
24	Wigan	19	3	6	10	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	18	10	6	2	+15	36
2	Sheffield United	19	10	4	5	+7	34
3	Luton	17	10	3	4	+6	33
4	Preston	19	9	5	5	-1	32
5	Norwich	19	8	5	6	+6	29
6	Sunderland	18	8	4	6	+8	28
7	Middlesbrough	18	9	1	8	+6	28
8	Stoke	19	7	4	8	+1	25
9	Millwall	19	7	4	8	-4	25
10	Coventry	19	6	6	7	+3	24
11	Hull	19	5	7	7	-5	22
12	Watford	19	5	7	7	-6	22
13	Birmingham	19	6	4	9	-9	22
14	Blackburn	19	6	3	10	-10	21
15	West Brom	18	5	5	8	-3	20
16	QPR	19	5	5	9	-14	20
17	Bristol City	18	4	7	7	-5	19
18	Swansea	19	4	7	8	-8	19
19	Wigan	19	4	7	8	-8	19
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	-12	15
21	Blackpool	19	3	5	11	-16	14
22	Rotherham	19	2	8	9	-17	14
23	Huddersfield	19	3	4	12	-17	13
24	Reading	19	3	2	14	-25	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.