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Superligaen
Brondby
U S T S S
0–3
Full-time
Aarhus
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Brondby 3. · Aarhus 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 7 6 1 0 +8 19
2 FC Copenhagen 6 6 0 0 +8 18
3 Brondby 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Nordsjaelland 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Odense 7 3 1 3 +1 10
6 Sonderjyske 7 2 3 2 +1 9
7 Lyngby 7 3 0 4 -4 9
8 Hobro 7 1 5 1 -1 8
9 Aalborg 6 2 1 3 +2 7
10 Horsens 6 2 0 4 -5 6
11 Aarhus 6 1 2 3 -1 5
12 Randers FC 7 1 2 4 -3 5
13 Esbjerg 7 1 2 4 -7 5
14 Silkeborg 7 0 3 4 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.