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Superligaen

Referee: S Funder

Viborg

S T T S S

1–2

Full-time

Aarhus

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,54 xG 2,20

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viborg 8. · Aarhus 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	8	5	1	2	+9	+4.7	16
2	Midtjylland	7	4	3	0	+10	+1.8	15
3	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+2	+3.8	15
4	Aarhus	7	4	2	1	+8	+4.8	14
5	Sonderjyske	8	3	1	4	-2	-5.4	10
6	Fredericia	7	3	1	3	-2	-4.6	10
7	Randers FC	8	3	1	4	-5	-0.9	10
8	Viborg	7	3	0	4	-1	-1.1	9
9	Nordsjaelland	7	3	0	4	-3	-1.8	9
10	Odense	7	2	2	3	-6	+2.8	8
11	Silkeborg	7	2	0	5	-7	+1.6	6
12	Vejle	7	1	1	5	-3	-5.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+1	+1.7	9
2	Midtjylland	4	2	2	0	+6	+2.3	8
3	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+3	+6.7	7
4	Sonderjyske	4	2	1	1	+2	-3.7	7
5	Fredericia	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.9	6
6	Odense	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.5	6
7	Vejle	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.5	4
8	FC Copenhagen	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
9	Viborg	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.4	3
10	Silkeborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+3.1	3
11	Nordsjaelland	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
12	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	5	4	0	1	+8	+2.8	12
2	Aarhus	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.8	7
3	Midtjylland	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.5	7
4	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.6	7
5	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.1	6
6	Viborg	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.2	6
7	Nordsjaelland	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.3	6
8	Fredericia	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.8	4
9	Sonderjyske	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
10	Silkeborg	4	1	0	3	-5	-1.5	3
11	Odense	3	0	2	1	-4	+0.2	2
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.