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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
U U T S U
4–0
Full-time
Falkenbergs
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Falkenbergs
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
31%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
42%
Both score Ø 54%
65%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 8. · Falkenbergs 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 27 18 5 4 +30 59
2 Malmo FF 26 16 8 2 +34 56
3 Hammarby 27 17 5 5 +31 56
4 AIK 27 17 5 5 +20 56
5 Norrkoping 27 14 8 5 +26 50
6 Hacken 27 13 7 7 +17 46
7 Goteborg 26 12 9 5 +13 45
8 Elfsborg 26 8 9 9 -8 33
9 Orebro 27 9 5 13 -8 32
10 Helsingborg 27 7 6 14 -18 27
11 Sirius 27 7 4 16 -18 25
12 Kalmar 27 4 11 12 -20 23
13 Ostersunds 27 4 10 13 -20 22
14 Sundsvall 27 4 8 15 -16 20
15 Falkenbergs 26 4 7 15 -31 19
16 AFC Eskilstuna 27 3 7 17 -32 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.