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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Man City
S S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Wolves
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,8
3,3
Scored
3,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
71%
14%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
100%
29%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
4,9
2,9
Scored
3,9
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

76% Possession 24%
18 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 2. · Wolves 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 8 8 0 0 +14 24
2 Man City 7 5 1 1 +20 16
3 Leicester 8 4 2 2 +7 14
4 Crystal Palace 8 4 2 2 +0 14
5 Burnley 8 3 3 2 +2 12
6 Arsenal 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 West Ham 8 3 3 2 +0 12
8 Tottenham 8 3 2 3 +2 11
9 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Bournemouth 7 3 2 2 +1 11
11 Man United 7 2 3 2 +2 9
12 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 +0 9
13 Brighton 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Aston Villa 8 2 2 4 +1 8
15 Wolves 7 1 4 2 -2 7
16 Southampton 7 2 1 4 -4 7
17 Everton 8 2 1 5 -7 7
18 Norwich 8 2 0 6 -11 6
19 Newcastle 7 1 2 4 -9 5
20 Watford 8 0 3 5 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man City Wolves
13′
🔁 R. Bennett
↦ R. Saïss
Half-time 0–0
O. Zinchenko 🔁
↦ K. Walker
46′
João Cancelo 🟨
50′
Rodri 🟨
50′
Bernardo Silva 🔁
↦ R. Mahrez
60′
Ederson 🟨
62′
68′
🔁 M. Doherty
↦ P. Cutrone
İlkay Gündoğan 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 Jonny Castro
↦ Rúben Vinagre
Gabriel Jesus 🔁
↦ David Silva
75′
Fernandinho 🟨
76′
80′
Adama Traoré 0–1
R. Jiménez
84′
🟨 Rúben Neves
86′
🟨 João Moutinho
94′
Adama Traoré 0–2
R. Jiménez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson Moraes G
30 N. Otamendi D
2 K. Walker D
27 João Cancelo D
21 David Silva M
25 Fernandinho D
8 İ. Gündoğan M
16 Rodri M
10 S. Agüero F
26 R. Mahrez M
7 R. Sterling M
Bench (7)
11 O. Zinchenko
20 Bernardo Silva
9 Gabriel Jesus
12 Angeliño
1 C. Bravo
47 P. Foden
50 Eric García

Coach: Guardiola

Wolves

3-5-2
11 Rui Patrício G
15 W. Boly D
16 C. Coady D
29 Rúben Vinagre M
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré M
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (7)
5 R. Bennett
2 M. Doherty
19 Jonny Castro
49 M. Kilman
4 Vallejo
17 M. Gibbs-White
21 J. Ruddy

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,13
U
9,26
B ✓
21,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,38
U2,5 ✓
3,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.