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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Sjöberg

Mjallby

T S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Varnamo

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

57%

14%

Points per game

1,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 29%

14%

43%

Average goals

1,9

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mjallby 5. · Varnamo 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	8	6	0	2	+3	18
2	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Malmo FF	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Hacken	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Mjallby	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Djurgarden	8	3	3	2	+5	12
7	Kalmar	7	4	0	3	+5	12
8	Elfsborg	7	3	2	2	+8	11
9	Goteborg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Norrkoping	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Sirius	7	3	1	3	-6	10
12	Varberg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Helsingborg	8	1	2	5	-4	5
14	Varnamo	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	Sundsvall	7	1	0	6	-11	3
16	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Djurgarden	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Sirius	3	2	0	1	-1	6
10	Varnamo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Norrkoping	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Varberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Sundsvall	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Malmo FF	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+5	4
8	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-5	4
10	Varberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Degerfors	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Djurgarden	4	0	2	2	-2	2
14	Helsingborg	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Sundsvall	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.