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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Sirius

T S T T T

3–0

Full-time

Kalmar

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

22%

39%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,99 xG 1,64

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 13. · Kalmar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	18	13	3	2	+27	+6.4	42
2	Malmo FF	18	13	2	3	+26	+1.9	41
3	Hacken	18	12	2	4	+25	-1.0	38
4	Djurgarden	18	10	3	5	+4	-1.6	33
5	Norrkoping	18	8	4	6	+6	+5.2	28
6	Kalmar	18	7	5	6	-3	-1.6	26
7	Mjallby	18	7	4	7	+0	-2.9	25
8	Hammarby	18	7	4	7	-3	+0.7	25
9	Halmstad	18	7	4	7	-11	-2.5	25
10	Brommapojkarna	19	7	2	10	-8	+0.3	23
11	Varnamo	18	7	1	10	-4	+1.1	22
12	AIK	19	4	7	8	-5	-1.2	19
13	Sirius	18	4	5	9	-7	+0.8	17
14	Degerfors	18	5	2	11	-23	-2.1	17
15	Goteborg	18	2	7	9	-7	-2.1	13
16	Varberg	18	2	5	11	-17	-1.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	8	1	1	+20	+1.8	25
2	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
3	Hacken	9	8	0	1	+20	-0.8	24
4	Elfsborg	9	6	2	1	+16	+1.4	20
5	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+7	+0.9	19
6	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.3	17
7	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.5	14
8	Degerfors	10	4	2	4	-2	-0.3	14
9	Halmstad	9	3	3	3	-4	-0.5	12
10	Brommapojkarna	9	3	1	5	-3	-0.4	10
11	Goteborg	9	2	3	4	+4	-0.9	9
12	Mjallby	9	2	3	4	+0	-3.3	9
13	Varnamo	8	3	0	5	-2	+0.2	9
14	AIK	9	1	5	3	-3	-0.9	8
15	Sirius	9	2	1	6	-4	+1.5	7
16	Varberg	9	0	3	6	-15	-0.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	9	7	1	1	+11	+5.0	22
2	Malmo FF	8	5	1	2	+6	+0.1	16
3	Mjallby	9	5	1	3	+0	+0.3	16
4	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
5	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.7	14
6	Varnamo	10	4	1	5	-2	+1.0	13
7	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-5	+0.7	13
8	Halmstad	9	4	1	4	-7	-2.0	13
9	AIK	10	3	2	5	-2	-0.3	11
10	Sirius	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.6	10
11	Kalmar	9	2	3	4	-4	-0.3	9
12	Varberg	9	2	2	5	-2	-0.7	8
13	Djurgarden	8	2	2	4	-5	-0.0	8
14	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
15	Goteborg	9	0	4	5	-11	-1.2	4
16	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-21	-1.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.