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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Legia
S U S T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
54%
46%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
46%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
38%
77%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 4. · Pogon Szczecin 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 13 9 2 2 +14 29
2 Widzew Lodz 14 8 2 4 +9 26
3 Wisla Plock 14 7 4 3 +11 25
4 Legia 13 7 3 3 +1 24
5 Stal Mielec 14 7 2 5 +1 23
6 Pogon Szczecin 13 6 4 3 +4 22
7 Lech Poznan 12 6 3 3 +4 21
8 Cracovia 13 5 3 5 +4 18
9 Jagiellonia 13 4 5 4 +4 17
10 Warta Poznan 13 5 2 6 -1 17
11 Radomiak Radom 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Zaglebie 13 4 5 4 -5 17
13 Slask Wroclaw 13 4 4 5 -5 16
14 Gornik Zabrze 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Piast Gliwice 13 3 3 7 -3 12
16 Korona Kielce 13 3 3 7 -6 12
17 Lechia Gdansk 12 2 2 8 -14 8
18 Legnica 13 1 3 9 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Pogon Szczecin
Artur Jędrzejczyk 🟨
10′
22′
🟨 Vahan Bichakhchyan
26′
🟨 Léo Borges
1–0 F. Mladenović ⚽
Josué
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Kucharczyk
↦ Jean Carlos
46′
🔁 R. Kurzawa
↦ S. Kowalczyk
Maciej Rosołek ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
Maik Nawrocki 🟨
50′
51′
⚽ J. Bartkowski 1–1
D. Dąbrowski
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ Carlitos
62′
62′
🔁 M. Łęgowski
↦ D. Dąbrowski
67′
🟨 Mateusz Łęgowski
73′
🔁 M. Wędrychowski
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ M. Rosołek
75′
R. Augustyniak 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
81′
M. Baku 🔁
↦ P. Wszołek
81′
86′
🔁 Luís Mata
↦ Léo Borges
91′
🟨 Rafał Kurzawa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-1-2
1 K. Tobiasz G
29 L. Rose D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
17 M. Nawrocki D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
67 B. Kapustka M
25 F. Mladenović M
27 Josué F
39 M. Rosołek F
19 Carlitos F
Bench (9)
20 E. Muçi
9 B. Kramer
8 R. Augustyniak
28 M. Baku
6 M. Johansson
31 C. Miszta
5 Yuri Ribeiro
18 P. Sokołowski
11 R. Pich

Coach: K. Runjaić

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
81 B. Klebaniuk G
2 J. Bartkowski D
23 B. Zech D
33 M. Malec D
4 Léo Borges D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
27 S. Kowalczyk M
21 Jean Carlos M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
18 M. Kucharczyk
7 R. Kurzawa
99 M. Łęgowski
15 M. Wędrychowski
97 Luís Mata
17 M. Fornalczyk
14 K. Drygas
1 D. Stipica
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U ✓
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

P Lasyk · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.