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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Korona Kielce
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
19%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 17. · Widzew Lodz 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 16 12 2 2 +22 38
2 Legia 16 9 4 3 +5 31
3 Wisla Plock 17 8 4 5 +5 28
4 Stal Mielec 17 8 3 6 +3 27
5 Widzew Lodz 16 8 2 6 +4 26
6 Pogon Szczecin 16 7 5 4 +3 26
7 Cracovia 17 7 4 6 +6 25
8 Lech Poznan 15 7 4 4 +4 25
9 Warta Poznan 17 7 4 6 +2 25
10 Radomiak Radom 16 7 2 7 -1 23
11 Gornik Zabrze 15 5 5 5 +2 20
12 Slask Wroclaw 16 5 5 6 -5 20
13 Jagiellonia 16 4 6 6 +0 18
14 Zaglebie 16 4 5 7 -13 17
15 Lechia Gdansk 15 4 2 9 -11 14
16 Piast Gliwice 16 3 4 9 -6 13
17 Korona Kielce 16 3 4 9 -8 13
18 Legnica 15 2 3 10 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz
17′
🟨 Ernest Terpiłowski
39′
ℹ️ Jordi Sánchez
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
A. Danek 🔁
↦ S. Balić
46′
Bartosz Śpiączka 🟨
49′
E. Shikavka 🔁
↦ B. Śpiączka
72′
D. Błanik 🔁
↦ R. Deaconu
72′
M. Zebić 🔁
↦ A. Deja
80′
80′
🔁 J. Letniowski
↦ B. Pawłowski
Jacek Podgórski 🟨
83′
A. Frączczak 🔁
↦ J. Podgórski
85′
89′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ P. Stępiński
91′
M. Miloš 0–1
P. Zieliński
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-3-3
73 M. Zapytowski G
14 D. Więckowski D
66 M. Trojak D
4 P. Malarczyk D
33 S. Balić D
13 R. Deaconu M
22 A. Deja M
8 D. Takáč M
6 J. Podgórski F
18 B. Śpiączka F
7 J. Łukowski F
Bench (9)
23 A. Danek
99 E. Shikavka
17 D. Błanik
95 M. Zebić
9 A. Frączczak
26 O. Sewerzyński
20 M. Szpakowski
1 K. Forenc
25 G. Szymusik

Coach: K. Kuzera

Widzew Lodz

3-4-3
26 H. Ravas G
5 S. Szota D
4 M. Żyro D
33 M. Kreuzriegler D
95 P. Stępiński M
25 M. Hanousek M
22 D. Kun M
7 M. Miloš M
13 E. Terpiłowski F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
19 B. Pawłowski F
Bench (9)
10 J. Letniowski
23 P. Zieliński
3 B. Czorbadżijski
72 V. Lytvynenko
29 Ł. Zjawiński
21 J. Sypek
8 K. Danielak
6 J. Shehu
20 P. Lipski

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.