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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Widzew Lodz

T T S T T

1–0

Full-time

LKS Lodz

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz LKS Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Widzew Lodz 12. · LKS Lodz 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	-3.1	7
2	Cracovia	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
3	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.3	7
4	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
5	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.5	6
6	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
7	Stal Mielec	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.7	5
8	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	+4.2	5
9	Rakow	3	1	1	1	+2	+2.0	4
10	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
11	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.1	4
12	Widzew Lodz	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
13	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.7	3
14	Ruch Chorzow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
15	Puszcza	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
16	LKS Lodz	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
17	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.7	1
18	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
2	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Stal Mielec	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.6	5
4	Rakow	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.0	4
5	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
7	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
9	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.4	3
12	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
13	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
14	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.6	3
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
16	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
18	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.6	4
2	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
4	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
7	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
8	Warta Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
10	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	Widzew Lodz	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
14	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
15	Puszcza	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
16	Ruch Chorzow	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.3	0
17	LKS Lodz	2	0	0	2	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.