Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 13 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 |
Bournemouth
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 7 |
Burnley
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Sheffield United
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 8 |
| 11 |
West Ham
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Southampton
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |
Everton
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |
Brighton
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |
Norwich
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |
Newcastle
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |
Wolves
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -14 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Ayew
F
Coach: R. Hodgson
M. Doherty
M
Jonny Castro
M
João Moutinho
M
R. Jiménez
F
Adama Traoré
F
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Man United
Crystal Palace
Sheffield United
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Everton
Stuart Attwell · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.