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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Everton
S U U S T
3–2
Full-time
Wolves
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
1,3
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Everton 12. · Wolves 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Man City 4 3 1 0 +11 10
3 Leicester 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 West Ham 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Man United 4 1 2 1 +3 5
8 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Chelsea 4 1 2 1 -3 5
10 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Burnley 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Everton 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Southampton 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Newcastle 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Bournemouth 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Brighton 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Wolves 3 0 3 0 +0 3
18 Aston Villa 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Norwich 4 1 0 3 -4 3
20 Watford 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Wolves
1–0 Richarlison
M. Kean
5′
9′
R. Saïss 1–1
2–1 A. Iwobi
G. Sigurðsson
12′
38′
🟨 Rúben Vinagre
44′
🟨 Raúl Jiménez
Half-time 2–1
49′
🟨 Willy Boly
58′
🟨 Ryan Bennett
59′
🔁 João Moutinho
↦ R. Saïss
Fabian Delph 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 Diogo Jota
↦ P. Cutrone
75′
R. Jiménez 2–2
W. Boly
Bernard 🔁
↦ A. Iwobi
76′
D. Calvert-Lewin 🔁
↦ M. Kean
76′
3–2 Richarlison
L. Digne
80′
84′
🔁 Pedro Neto
↦ Rúben Neves
90′
🟨 Willy Boly
90′
🟨 Pedro Neto
90′
🟥 Willy Boly
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
23 S. Coleman D
12 L. Digne D
5 M. Keane D
13 Y. Mina D
8 F. Delph M
10 G. Sigurðsson M
21 André Gomes M
17 A. Iwobi M
7 Richarlison M
27 M. Kean F
Bench (7)
20 Bernard
9 D. Calvert-Lewin
2 M. Holgate
14 C. Tosun
18 M. Schneiderlin
22 M. Stekelenburg
19 D. Sidibé

Coach: Marco Silva

Wolves

3-5-2
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
16 C. Coady D
29 Rúben Vinagre M
27 R. Saïss M
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré M
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (7)
28 João Moutinho
18 Diogo Jota
7 Pedro Neto
4 Vallejo
19 Jonny Castro
17 M. Gibbs-White
21 J. Ruddy

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,29
B
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.