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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
0–4
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 7
20 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 11. · Nurnberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Magdeburg 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Karlsruhe 8 4 4 0 +5 16
4 Paderborn 9 4 4 1 +4 16
5 Hannover 9 5 1 3 +4 16
6 Hamburg 8 4 3 1 +11 15
7 Hertha 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Elversberg 9 3 4 2 +5 13
9 FC Koln 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Kaiserslautern 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Greuther Furth 8 2 4 2 +3 10
12 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -5 10
13 Darmstadt 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Schalke 04 9 2 2 5 -4 8
15 Ulm 8 2 1 5 -2 7
16 Braunschweig 9 2 1 6 -12 7
17 Preußen Münster 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Regensburg 9 1 1 7 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Nurnberg
13′
M. Emreli 0–1
J. Justvan
18′
S. Tzimas 0–2
Danilo Soares
D. Srbeny 🔁
↦ G. Jung
26′
Branimir Hrgota 🟨
32′
33′
S. Tzimas 0–3
Niko Giesselmann 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–3
G. Itter 🔁
↦ S. Bansé
46′
J. Consbruch 🔁
↦ N. Gießelmann
46′
56′
🟨 Mahir Emreli
Nemanja Motika 🔁
↦ R. Massimo
62′
62′
🔁 B. Goller
↦ M. Emreli
64′
🟨 Stefanos Tzimas
74′
🔁 L. Schleimer
↦ S. Tzimas
75′
🔁 R. Lubach
↦ J. Justvan
D. Michalski 🔁
↦ J. Consbruch
80′
Nemanja Motika 🟨
83′
88′
L. Schleimer 0–4
90′
🔁 N. Seidel
↦ F. Jeltsch
90′
🔁 F. Flick
↦ J. Castrop
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
44 N. Noll G
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
23 G. Jung D
33 M. Dietz D
2 S. Asta M
6 S. Bansé M
37 J. Green M
17 N. Gießelmann M
10 B. Hrgota F
9 N. Futkeu F
11 R. Massimo F
Bench (9)
7 D. Srbeny
27 G. Itter
14 J. Consbruch
22 Nemanja Motika
4 D. Michalski
8 M. Mustapha
1 N. Körber
3 O. Mhamdi
5 R. Münz

Coach: A. Zorniger

Nurnberg

3-5-2
1 J. Reichert G
4 F. Jeltsch D
31 R. Knoche D
44 O. Karafiát D
2 O. Villadsen M
20 C. Jander M
10 J. Justvan M
17 J. Castrop M
3 Danilo Soares M
30 M. Emreli F
9 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
14 B. Goller
36 L. Schleimer
18 R. Lubach
33 N. Seidel
6 F. Flick
26 C. Mathenia
7 F. Pick
22 E. Valentini
21 B. Yılmaz

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,96
B ✓
3,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.