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KNVB Beker
Referee: E Blank
2–1
Full-time
NAC Breda
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barendrecht NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Nijkerk 3 3 0 0 +12 9
2 Noordwijk 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Winterswijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Ijsselmeervogels 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 ASWH 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Quick '20 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 SC Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Rijnvogels 3 2 0 1 -2 6
15 FC Lisse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 Kolping Boys 3 1 1 1 -3 4
17 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +7 3
18 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +3 3
24 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Gemert 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Juliana '31 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 ADO '20 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 RKAVV 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 HV & CV Quick 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Vvsb 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Ajax Amateurs 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Achilles Veen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Hoek 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 TEC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 HBC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Smitshoek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Elinkwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 EVV 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Olde Veste '54 2 0 1 1 -1 1
48 Zwaluw VFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
49 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 SDC Putten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 DEM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Kloetinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Meerssen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 URK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 GOES 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 De Bilt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Geldrop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 SVBO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 DAW Schaijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Forum Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 FC 's-Gravenzande 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 ACV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 De Treffers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 UNA 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Heerjansdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 GVVV Veenendaal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Excelsior '31 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 ROHDA Raalte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Laar 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barendrecht NAC Breda
1–0 W. Vermeer
8′
Danny Monster 🟨
18′
Taner Bayram 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Manel Royo
50′
L. Mol 1–1
Saná Fernandes
J. Brand 🔁
↦ K. Rook
64′
67′
🔁 C. Leemans
↦ L. Mol
Jomar Gomes 🟨
74′
J. Kassels 🔁
↦ C. Schop
81′
B. Vugts 🔁
↦ T. Drexhage
81′
81′
🔁 R. Paula
↦ D. Janošek
81′
🔁 R. Kuijpers
↦ Saná Fernandes
81′
🔁 K. Kostorz
↦ E. Ómarsson
84′
🟨 Leo Greiml
Joshua Kassels 🟨
86′
2–1 B. Vugts
94′
95′
🔁 E. Mahmutović
↦ B. Lucassen
Lorenzo Fonseca 🔁
↦ O. Mrowicki
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Barendrecht

5-4-1
20 J. Gomes G
12 C. Schop D
3 T. de Graaf D
7 D. Monster D
4 W. Vermeer D
15 K. Rook D
21 O. Mrowicki M
8 J. Jongman M
6 T. Bayram M
18 B. de Bruin M
9 T. Drexhage F
Bench (12)
2 J. Brand
14 J. Kassels
17 B. Vugts
23 Lorenzo Fonseca
27 G. Strick
1 B. van der Meer
16 L. Dielhof
25 J. Chukwu
10 R. van der Stoep
24 K. Kanlic
30 M. Kooiman
26 G. Polak

Coach: L. van Steensel

NAC Breda

4-3-3
99 D. Bielica G
2 B. Lucassen D
12 L. Greiml D
5 J. Van den Bergh D
21 Manel Royo D
28 L. Mol M
16 M. Balard M
39 D. Janošek M
19 Saná Fernandes F
10 E. Ómarsson F
77 L. Sauer F
Bench (12)
8 C. Leemans
11 R. Paula
17 R. Kuijpers
9 K. Kostorz
15 E. Mahmutović
49 T. Troost
14 A. Kaied
1 R. Kortsmit
6 C. Staring
20 F. Oldrup Jensen
3 M. Koscelník
7 M. Garbett

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.