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Copa del Rey
Referee: Francisco García
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
19 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
20 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
40 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
42 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
43 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
44 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bergantiños Marbella
16′
Dorian Junior 0–1
E. Ohemeng
23′
Dorian Junior 0–2
P. Calvo 🟨
26′
26′
🟨 J. Carrasco
A. Bastos 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–2
Álex Pachón 🔁
↦ Longo
46′
Manu Núñez 🔁
↦ Álex Ramos
46′
53′
🟨
53′
🔁 Jorge Álvarez
↦ J. Assi
53′
🔁 Marcos Peña
↦ Dorian Junior
53′
🔁 Genar Fornés
↦ Íñigo Alayeto
1–2 O. Ouhdadi
64′
68′
🟨 Du Yuezheng
70′
🔁 José Callejón
↦ Du Yuezheng
70′
🔁 Pablo Muñoz
↦ E. Ohemeng
72′
🟨
L. Keita 🔁
↦ Iago Martínez
75′
David Álvarez 🔁
↦ O. Ouhdadi
75′
Fito 🟨
81′
Pablo Trigo 🔁
↦ Diego Uzal
82′
90′
🟨 A. Punal
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bergantiños

25 T. Stopajnik
12 Ángel Bastos
5 Iago Martínez
4 Fito
23 Tijan
10 Remeseiro
14 Diego Uzal
21 Álex Ramos
16 Lucas Antañón
17 O. Ouhdadi
7 Longo
Bench (11)
19 Álex Pachón
6 Manu Núñez
26 L. Keita
11 David Álvarez
18 Pablo Trigo
3 Currás
15 Christian Molina
22 Diego Rodríguez
9 Mario Musy
1 Diego Cotelo
20 Willian Peña

Coach: Jorge Cuesta

Marbella

1 Alberto Lejárraga
4 José Carrasco
10 Aitor Puñal
14 Marcos Olguín
6 Javi Duarte
11 Alberto Soto
19 E. Ohemeng
17 Íñigo Alayeto
12 J. Assi
16 Dorian Junior
9 Du Yuezheng
Bench (10)
2 Jorge Álvarez
23 Marcos Peña
3 Genar Fornés
7 José Callejón
21 Pablo Muñoz
25 D. Solsky
13 Dani Martín
8 Jony Álamo
5 Luis Acosta
15 Y. Diori

Coach: Fran Beltrán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.