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Copa del Rey

Referee: Pablo González

Las Rozas

0–3

Full-time

Sevilla

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Rozas Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,0

1,3

Conceded

3,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%

6 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
17	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
7	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Rozas Sevilla

40′

⚽ L. Méndez 1–0

own goal

Half-time 1–0

Álvaro Escolano 🔁

↦ Victor Velasco

46′

🔁 Kike Salas

↦ Marcão

Juanito 🔁

↦ S. Lagreca

59′

Roberto 🔁

↦ Borja Pascual

59′

61′

⚽ K. Ịheanachọ 1–1

Juanlu Sánchez

65′

🔁 Isra Domínguez

↦ S. Idumbo

66′

🔁 Pedro Ortiz

↦ Juanlu Sánchez

Varo 🔁

↦ Iván Quivira

75′

Alvaro Escolano 🟨

76′

77′

🔁 Alberto Collado

↦ D. Sow

79′

⚽ K. Ịheanachọ 1–2

81′

🟨 Pedro Ortiz

Javi Bernal 🔁

↦ Losada

84′

🔁 Adrià Pedrosa

↦ Peque Fernández

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Las Rozas

4-4-2

1 Álex Herrero G

2 Alberto Moreno D

4 L. Méndez D

6 David Gómez D

17 Mese D

7 Losada M

5 Victor Velasco M

10 Iván Quivira M

15 Borja Pascual M

9 S. Lagreca F

19 Joselu F

Bench (11)

8 Álvaro Escolano

14 Juanito

16 Roberto

20 Varo

21 Javi Bernal

23 B. Mejía

28 Hugo Molina

26 Izan García

22 Kevin Diouf

11 A. Maes

13 Pablo Fuertes

Coach: Manu González

Sevilla

4-2-3-1

Álvaro Fernández G

15 G. Montiel D

Ramón Martínez D

Marcão D

V. Barco D

L. Agoumé M

D. Sow M

Juanlu Sánchez M

Peque Fernández M

S. Idumbo M

9 K. Ịheanachọ F

Bench (11)

4 Kike Salas

41 Isra Domínguez

8 Pedro Ortiz

30 Alberto Collado

3 Adrià Pedrosa

11 D. Lukébakio

6 N. Gudelj

31 Alberto Flores

7 Isaac Romero

28 Manu Bueno

32 José Ángel Carmona

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

13. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,1 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

29,4 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Las Rozas

Sevilla

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee