← Match Finder
League Cup
Referee: R Jones
Tottenham
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Man City
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Tottenham Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%
11 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 36. · Man City 35.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Crystal Palace 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Stoke 4 2 1 1 +6 7
4 Preston 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Southampton 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Brentford 3 2 1 0 +3 7
7 Newcastle 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Fleetwood Town 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Man United 2 2 0 0 +10 6
10 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 +7 6
11 Watford 3 2 0 1 +6 6
12 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Brighton 3 2 0 1 +4 6
14 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 +4 6
15 Leyton Orient 3 2 0 1 +2 6
16 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Coventry 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 Walsall 3 1 2 0 +1 5
19 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
20 Fulham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Leicester 3 1 1 1 +1 4
22 Derby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
24 QPR 3 1 1 1 +0 4
25 Bolton 3 1 1 1 -2 4
26 Barrow 3 1 1 1 -4 4
27 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 -6 4
28 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 +4 3
29 Chelsea 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Huddersfield 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Wolves 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Man City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Oxford 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Millwall 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Tranmere 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Norwich 2 1 0 1 -3 3
48 West Ham 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Harrogate Town 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Mansfield Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Exeter City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Colchester 2 0 1 1 -1 1
60 Shrewsbury 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Grimsby 2 0 1 1 -4 1
62 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Bromley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Cambridge United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Burnley 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Newport County 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Leeds 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Morecambe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Stockport County 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Man City
1–0 T. Werner
D. Kulusevski
5′
D. Udogie 🔁
↦ M. van de Ven
14′
Pape Matar Sarr 🟨
23′
2–0 P. Sarr
D. Kulusevski
25′
Half-time 2–0
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ P. Sarr
46′
46′
🔁 M. Kovačić
↦ İ. Gündoğan
46′
🔁 J. Gvardiol
↦ Rúben Dias
49′
Matheus Nunes 2–1
Savinho
B. Davies 🔁
↦ C. Romero
52′
Yves Bissouma 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ P. Foden
63′
🔁 J. Wright
↦ Savinho
M. Moore 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
68′
Richarlison 🔁
↦ T. Werner
69′
74′
🔁 J. Simpson-Pusey
↦ N. Aké
Archie Gray 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 G. Vicario G
14 A. Gray D
17 C. Romero D
6 R. Drăgușin D
37 M. van de Ven D
21 D. Kulusevski M
30 R. Bentancur M
29 P. Sarr M
22 B. Johnson F
19 D. Solanke F
16 T. Werner F
Bench (9)
13 D. Udogie
8 Y. Bissouma
33 B. Davies
47 M. Moore
9 Richarlison
20 F. Forster
15 L. Bergvall
10 J. Maddison
23 Pedro Porro

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Man City

4-1-4-1
18 S. Ortega G
82 R. Lewis D
5 J. Stones D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
19 İ. Gündoğan M
26 Savinho M
75 N. O'Reilly M
87 J. McAtee M
27 Matheus Nunes M
47 P. Foden F
Bench (9)
8 M. Kovačić
24 J. Gvardiol
20 Bernardo Silva
56 J. Wright
66 J. Simpson-Pusey
25 M. Akanji
9 E. Haaland
31 Ederson
85 F. Alfa-Ruprecht

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.