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Copa del Rey
Referee: Francisco Expósito
Cacereño
S S T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cacereño Gimnástica Segoviana
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
7,0
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,3
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 UD San Pedro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
34 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
71 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
74 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cacereño Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0 Deco
Pepe Bernal
8′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Berlanga
↦ Javi Borrego
46′
🔁 Davo
↦ Fernán Ferreiroa
Christian Martínez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Salinas
65′
65′
🔁 Chupo Yubero
↦ Gabriel Palmero
65′
🔁 Pedro Astray
↦ Ignacio Tellechea
Fernando Pérez 🟨
80′
Jaime Sancho 🔁
↦ Fran Viñuela
80′
Álvaro Merencio 🔁
↦ Marcos Carrillo
80′
81′
🔁 Hugo Díaz
↦ Fer Llorente
84′
Manu Olmedilla 1–1
92′
🟨 Diego Gómez
Jorge Sarmiento 🔁
↦ Pepe Bernal
93′
Álvaro Clausí 🟨
99′
102′
🟨 Sergi Molina
2–1 Christian Martínez
103′
105′
🔁 Hugo Marcos
↦ Sergi Molina
Iker San Vicente 🔁
↦ Deco
111′
Izan Rodríguez 🟨
116′
Christian Martínez 🟨
122′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cacereño

4-3-3
13 Izan Rodríguez G
18 Antonio Navas D
3 Javi Barrio D
4 Adrián Crespo D
5 Joserra D
8 Deco M
6 Álvaro Clausí M
19 Pepe Bernal M
17 Fran Viñuela F
20 Álvaro Salinas F
7 Marcos Carrillo F
Bench (11)
9 Christian Martínez
21 Jaime Sancho
11 Álvaro Merencio
10 Jorge Sarmiento
15 Iker San Vicente
29 Mario Valiente
14 Adri Pérez
16 Sergio Arévalo
2 Iván Martínez
1 Diego Nieves
27 Iker Bidauzarraga

Coach: Julio Cobos

Gimnástica Segoviana

4-3-3
44 Héctor Oliva G
21 J. Silva D
5 Abel Pascual D
3 Sergi Molina D
18 Gabriel Palmero D
14 Fer Llorente M
6 Manu Olmedilla M
23 Fernán Ferreiroa M
20 Ignacio Tellechea F
9 Diego Gómez F
10 Javi Borrego F
Bench (10)
7 Berlanga
19 Davo
17 Chupo Yubero
11 Pedro Astray
8 Hugo Díaz
26 Hugo Marcos
25 Li Changyi
28 Guille San Felipe
29 Rodrigo Ibañes
1 Pablo Carmona

Coach: Ramsés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.