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Copa del Rey

Referee: Daniel Palencia

Atlético Paso

U T

0–1

Full-time

Eldense

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Paso Eldense

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
41	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Paso Eldense

30′

🔁 Sergio Ortuño

↦ Alan Godoy

43′

⚽ Unai Ropero 0–1

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 Iván Chapela

↦ Francisco Geraldes

A. Escudero Mogio 🟨

47′

🟨 F. Geraldes

Musa Dambelleh 🔁

↦ Carlos Barreda

70′

D. Ojog 🟨

71′

75′

🟨 N. Monsalve

78′

🔁 Nacho Quintana

↦ Unai Ropero

78′

🔁 David Timor

↦ Álex Bernal

A. Placeres 🟨

81′

Asier Etxaburu 🔁

↦ Diego Gutiérrez

85′

🔁 Juanto

↦ S. Ogbuehi

Iván Pérez 🔁

↦ Ayoze Placeres

92′

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atlético Paso

1 Rúben Cebollada

2 Carlos Barreda

17 Ayoze Placeres

5 D. Ojog

18 Adri Escudero

10 Juan Carlos Menudo

4 Robe Moreno

6 Toni Jou

8 Diego Gutiérrez

7 Armiche Ortega

9 Álex Altube

Bench (7)

27 Musa Dambelleh

23 Asier Etxaburu

12 Iván Pérez

28 Fran López

20 Jesús Hernández

26 Y. Sina

13 José Perales

Coach: Juanma Pavón

Eldense

Dani Martín

14 Nacho Monsalve

22 R. Grigore

Víctor García

21 Álex Bernal

12 Francisco Geraldes

Y. Lachhab

19 Joel Jorquera

29 Alan Godoy

18 Unai Ropero

S. Ogbuehi

Bench (8)

8 Sergio Ortuño

20 Iván Chapela

9 Nacho Quintana

24 David Timor

11 Juanto

23 Marc Mateu

15 Fran Gámez

13 Ian Mackay

Coach: Dani Ponz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

20. Dec CDR 3 years ago

13. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,2 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

28,8 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Atlético Paso

Eldense

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee