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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Ein Frankfurt
S U T S U
2–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 16. · M'gladbach 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Karlsruhe 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 FC Koln 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Regensburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
10 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
11 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Dortmund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Dresden 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Kaiserslautern 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Kickers Offenbach 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Holstein Kiel 2 1 0 1 -2 3
31 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 TuS Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 SV Meppen 1 0 0 1 -6 0
64 Borussia Hildesheim 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt M'gladbach
Arthur Theate 🟥
15′
N. Collins 🔁
↦ J. Dina Ebimbe
25′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Ekitiké
E. Skhiri
47′
47′
K. Itakura 1–1
T. Kleindienst
Nathaniel Brown 🟨
51′
59′
🟨 Lukas Ullrich
63′
🟨 Julian Weigl
Omar Marmoush 🔁
↦ I. Matanović
63′
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ N. Brown
63′
69′
🔁 S. Lainer
↦ L. Ullrich
69′
🔁 R. Hack
↦ F. Neuhaus
2–1 Omar Marmoush
70′
78′
🔁 A. Pléa
↦ P. Sander
78′
🔁 T. Čvančara
↦ F. Honorat
80′
🟨 Marvin Friedrich
85′
🔁 N. Ngoumou
↦ J. Scally
A. Amenda 🔁
↦ M. Götze
89′
A. Knauff 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
90′
93′
🟨 Tomáš Čvančara
Kevin Trapp 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

4-4-2
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
21 N. Brown D
26 J. Dina Ebimbe M
15 E. Skhiri M
16 H. Larsson M
27 M. Götze M
9 I. Matanović F
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (9)
34 N. Collins
7 Omar Marmoush
29 N. Nkounkou
5 A. Amenda
36 A. Knauff
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
40 Kauã Santos
22 T. Chandler
20 C. Uzun

Coach: D. Toppmöller

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
33 M. Nicolas G
29 J. Scally D
3 K. Itakura D
5 M. Friedrich D
26 L. Ullrich D
16 P. Sander M
8 J. Weigl M
9 F. Honorat M
7 K. Stöger M
10 F. Neuhaus M
11 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
22 S. Lainer
25 R. Hack
14 A. Pléa
31 T. Čvančara
19 N. Ngoumou
21 T. Sippel
13 S. Fukuda
2 F. Chiarodia
28 G. Ranos

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.