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Svenska Cupen
Referee: G Nyberg
Malmo FF
T S S S U
5–2
Full-time
Norrkoping
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
3,3
3,3
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 4. · Norrkoping 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 5 5 0 0 +17 15
2 AIK 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Halmstad 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 Malmo FF 4 3 1 0 +12 10
5 Brommapojkarna 5 3 1 1 +8 10
6 Mjallby 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Oster 4 3 0 1 +7 9
8 Varnamo 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Goteborg 4 3 0 1 +1 9
10 Orebro SK 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 Norrkoping 4 2 2 0 +10 8
12 Sirius 4 2 2 0 +8 8
13 Degerfors 5 2 2 1 +5 8
14 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Elfsborg 4 2 1 1 +3 7
16 Hammarby 4 2 1 1 +3 7
17 GAIS 4 2 1 1 +2 7
18 Varberg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
19 Kalmar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
20 Vasteras SK 4 2 1 1 +2 7
21 Trelleborg 4 2 1 1 +1 7
22 Skövde AIK 4 2 0 2 +3 6
23 IK brage 4 1 3 0 +2 6
24 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 +1 6
25 United Nordic 5 2 0 3 -1 6
26 Ostersunds FK 4 2 0 2 -1 6
27 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -5 6
28 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Sundsvall 4 1 1 2 -1 4
30 IFK Luleå 5 1 1 3 -16 4
31 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +10 3
32 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
33 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Jönköpings BK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Karlshamn 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 +0 3
42 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Tyresö W 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Jonsered 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Zenith 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Lund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Gefle IF 4 1 0 3 -3 3
56 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 Lucksta 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Utsikten 4 1 0 3 -6 3
60 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
65 Franke 2 0 1 1 -5 1
66 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
67 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Jonkopings Sodra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
96 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Norrkoping
2′
C. Björk 0–1
D. Eid
1–1 S. Jørgensen
L. Berg Johnsen
15′
D. Cornelius 🟨
25′
26′
🟨 A. Traustason
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 I. Ssewankambo
↦ A. Traustason
T. Ali 🔁
↦ O. Rosengren
67′
2–1 E. Botheim
Gabriel Busanello
72′
J. Stryger Larsen 🟨
77′
3–1 S. Jørgensen
S. Nanasi
77′
78′
🔁 I. Lushaku
↦ C. Björk
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ S. Jørgensen
79′
79′
🔁 T. Prica
↦ V. Hammershøy-Mistrati
79′
🔁 Í. Sigurgeirsson
↦ C. Nyman
E. Botheim 🟨
81′
4–1 T. Ali
82′
H. Bolin 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
86′
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
86′
87′
🔁 T. Sandberg
↦ D. Salihović
90′
T. Prica 4–2
I. Lushaku
5–2 T. Ali
A. Skogmar
94′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

27 J. Dahlin
17 J. Stryger Larsen
18 P. Jansson
19 D. Cornelius
25 Gabriel Busanello
8 S. Peña
11 S. Nanasi
14 S. Jørgensen
23 L. Berg Johnsen
7 O. Rosengren
20 E. Botheim
Bench (9)
22 T. Ali
5 S. Rieks
38 H. Bolin
37 A. Skogmar
21 S. Vecchia
9 I. Kiese Thelin
1 Ricardo Friedrich
4 N. Moisander
33 E. Makolli

Coach: H. Rydström

Norrkoping

1 O. Jansson
19 M. Watson
20 D. Eid
24 A. Eriksson
16 D. Salihović
14 Y. Kalley
9 A. Traustason
10 V. Hammershøy-Mistrati
5 C. Nyman
15 C. Björk
17 L. Shabani
Bench (9)
6 I. Ssewankambo
11 I. Lushaku
22 T. Prica
8 Í. Sigurgeirsson
38 T. Sandberg
4 A. Sögaard
34 N. Sernelius
37 M. Neffati
40 K. Eriksson

Coach: A. Alm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.