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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Fenerbahce
U S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Pendikspor
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Pendikspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 52%
82%
21%
Points per game
2,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
54%
64%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,6
1,1
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,69 xG 0,57
67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 29
6 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Pendikspor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 29 25 3 1 +47 +39.5 78
2 Fenerbahce 28 23 4 1 +50 +50.4 73
3 Trabzonspor 29 15 4 10 +12 +2.1 49
4 Besiktas 28 14 4 10 +7 +9.4 46
5 Kasimpasa 29 12 7 10 -1 -8.5 43
6 Buyuksehyr 29 12 6 11 +4 -0.4 42
7 Kayserispor 29 10 9 10 -6 -7.5 39
8 Rizespor 29 11 6 12 -13 -7.1 39
9 Antalyaspor 29 9 11 9 +1 +0.5 38
10 Sivasspor 29 9 11 9 -4 -6.1 38
11 Ad. Demirspor 29 8 12 9 +4 -1.6 36
12 Samsunspor 29 10 6 13 -3 +4.9 36
13 Alanyaspor 29 8 12 9 -5 +2.1 36
14 Konyaspor 29 7 11 11 -11 -10.6 32
15 Ankaragücü 29 6 12 11 -4 -5.6 30
16 Hatayspor 29 6 12 11 -7 -5.4 30
17 Karagumruk 29 7 8 14 -4 -12.5 29
18 Gaziantep 28 7 7 14 -10 -11.2 28
19 Pendikspor 28 6 8 14 -25 -11.2 26
20 İstanbulspor 29 3 7 19 -32 -21.2 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Pendikspor
İrfan Can Eğribayat 🟨
-5′
Mert Müldür 🟨
15′
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
18′
Edin Džeko 🟨
26′
26′
🟨 Erdem Canpolat
30′
H. Akbunar 0–1
M. Thiam
Half-time 0–1
A. Djiku 🔁
↦ J. Oosterwolde
46′
B. Osayi-Samuel 🔁
↦ M. Müldür
46′
47′
🟨 Halil Akbunar
54′
🟨 Badou Ndiaye
Ferdi Kadıoğlu 🟨
59′
1–1 M. Yandaş
F. Kadıoğlu
59′
61′
🟨 Welinton
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ C. Ünder
61′
63′
🔁 E. Çekiçi
↦ G. Kaya
71′
🟨 Welinton
71′
🟥 Welinton
M. Batshuayi 🔁
↦ M. Yandaş
74′
74′
🔁 B. Sülüngöz
↦ H. Akbunar
81′
🔁 J. Rassoul
↦ U. Nayir
81′
🔁 E. Yardımcı
↦ M. Thiam
İrfan Can Kahveci ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
2–1 M. Batshuayi
87′
91′
🟥 Arnaud Lusamba
91′
🟨 Arnaud Lusamba
91′
🟨 Arnaud Lusamba
S. Szymański 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
92′
94′
🟨 Nuno Sequeira
3–1 F. Kadıoğlu
Fred
94′
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
97′
4–1 İ. Kahveci
A. Djiku
99′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
4 S. Aziz D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
33 R. Krunić M
35 Fred M
20 C. Ünder M
8 M. Yandaş M
10 D. Tadić M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
6 A. Djiku
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
17 İ. Kahveci
23 M. Batshuayi
53 S. Szymański
70 İ. Eğribayat
88 M. Dursun
95 Y. Akçiçek
26 M. Zajc
91 S. Dursun

Coach: İ. Kartal

Pendikspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Canpolat G
61 S. Asan D
23 Welinton D
13 M. Akça D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
5 B. Ndiaye M
66 A. Lusamba M
11 H. Akbunar M
58 G. Kaya M
27 M. Thiam M
17 U. Nayir F
Bench (10)
8 E. Çekiçi
20 B. Sülüngöz
99 E. Yardımcı
14 J. Rassoul
7 L. Kappel
3 E. Taşdemir
21 A. Diaby
90 E. Eze
35 B. Öğür
22 E. Özgenç

Coach: İ. Üzülmez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
U
7,65
B
13,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
3,28
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.