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Allsvenskan
Referee: B Pandzic
Malmo FF
S T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Norrkoping
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Norrkoping
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 39%
48%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
48%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
22 Shots 10
13 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Malmo FF 7. · Norrkoping 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 22 13 6 3 +27 45
2 Hacken 21 13 6 2 +22 45
3 Hammarby 22 12 5 5 +23 41
4 AIK 21 11 6 4 +10 39
5 Goteborg 21 11 3 7 +12 36
6 Kalmar 21 11 3 7 +7 36
7 Malmo FF 21 10 4 7 +8 34
8 Mjallby 22 8 8 6 +0 32
9 Elfsborg 22 7 9 6 +9 30
10 Sirius 22 7 4 11 -10 25
11 Varnamo 22 6 7 9 -11 25
12 Norrkoping 21 6 6 9 -2 24
13 Varberg 21 5 6 10 -17 21
14 Degerfors 22 4 5 13 -23 17
15 Helsingborg 21 3 5 13 -17 14
16 Sundsvall 22 3 1 18 -38 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Norrkoping
3′
J. Ortmark 0–1
A. Sigurðsson
Isaac Kiese Thelin 🟨
9′
9′
🟨 Jonathan Levi
M. Zeidan 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
28′
Half-time 0–1
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ O. Lewicki
46′
P. Sejdiu 🔁
↦ N. Moisander
47′
58′
🔁 A. Guðjohnsen
↦ C. Nyman
Martin Olsson 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Marco Lund
66′
🟨 Jacob Ortmark
1–1 M. Zeidan
I. Kiese Thelin
70′
2–1 I. Kiese Thelin
S. Peña
73′
J. Knudsen 🔁
↦ M. Olsson
78′
78′
🔁 M. Sema
↦ D. Eid
O. Toivonen 🔁
↦ S. Peña
79′
79′
🔁 D. Salihovic
↦ A. Skúlason
79′
🔁 V. Agardius
↦ G. Ekpolo
88′
🔁 L. Shabani
↦ J. Ortmark
90′
🟨 Marco Lund
90′
🟥 Marco Lund
95′
🟨 Dino Salihovic
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

3-4-3
30 I. Diawara G
13 M. Olsson M
4 N. Moisander D
24 L. Nielsen D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
10 A. Christiansen M
32 J. Inge Berget F
6 O. Lewicki M
8 S. Peña M
15 J. Ceesay F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (7)
20 M. Zeidan
36 P. Sejdiu
31 H. Larsson
3 J. Knudsen
11 O. Toivonen
27 J. Dahlin
14 F. Beijmo

Coach: Å. Hareide

Norrkoping

4-3-3
1 O. Jansson G
2 G. Ekpolo D
4 M. Lund D
20 D. Eid D
24 A. Eriksson D
18 A. Skúlason M
9 A. Traustason M
7 J. Ortmark M
8 A. Sigurðsson F
10 J. Levi F
5 C. Nyman F
Bench (7)
22 A. Guðjohnsen
23 M. Sema
21 D. Salihovic
16 V. Agardius
17 L. Shabani
32 W. Jakobsson
11 C. Telo

Coach: G. Riddersholm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pandzic · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.