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Serie B

Referee: L Massimi

Venezia

S U S S T

3–1

Full-time

Bari

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

54%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

68%

36%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

54%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 4. · Bari 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	29	18	8	3	+26	62
2	Cremonese	29	16	8	5	+19	56
3	Como	29	15	7	7	+8	52
4	Venezia	28	15	6	7	+16	51
5	Catanzaro	29	14	6	9	+8	48
6	Palermo	28	13	7	8	+13	46
7	Brescia	29	9	11	9	+2	38
8	Pisa	29	9	10	10	+0	37
9	Cittadella	29	10	7	12	-5	37
10	Reggiana	29	7	15	7	-2	36
11	Sampdoria	28	10	6	12	-5	36
12	Modena	29	8	12	9	-5	36
13	Sudtirol	29	9	8	12	-3	35
14	Cosenza	29	8	10	11	-1	34
15	Bari	28	7	13	8	-5	34
16	Spezia	29	6	12	11	-14	30
17	Ternana	29	7	8	14	-6	29
18	Ascoli	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	FeralpiSalo	29	7	6	16	-14	27
20	Lecco	28	5	6	17	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	15	9	6	0	+13	33
2	Venezia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
3	Como	14	8	4	2	+7	28
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Palermo	14	8	1	5	+10	25
7	Cittadella	15	7	2	6	+3	23
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+2	22
9	Brescia	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Modena	15	5	4	6	-1	19
11	Pisa	15	4	6	5	+0	18
12	Sudtirol	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	+2	17
14	Ascoli	14	3	6	5	+0	15
15	Ternana	15	3	6	6	-1	15
16	Spezia	14	3	6	5	-2	15
17	Reggiana	14	2	9	3	-3	15
18	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-4	15
19	FeralpiSalo	14	3	3	8	-4	12
20	Lecco	13	3	1	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	14	9	3	2	+10	30
2	Parma	14	9	2	3	+13	29
3	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
4	Venezia	14	6	3	5	+5	21
5	Palermo	14	5	6	3	+3	21
6	Reggiana	15	5	6	4	+1	21
7	Catanzaro	14	6	3	5	+0	21
8	Sampdoria	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Pisa	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Brescia	15	4	6	5	+0	18
11	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-2	17
12	Cosenza	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Modena	14	3	8	3	-4	17
14	FeralpiSalo	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Spezia	15	3	6	6	-12	15
16	Ternana	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Cittadella	14	3	5	6	-8	14
18	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-6	13
19	Bari	14	2	6	6	-7	12
20	Lecco	15	2	5	8	-14	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.