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Super League

Referee: G Tzovaras

Aris Thessalonikis

U T S U T

1–2

Full-time

Olympiakos

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 52%

20%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

60%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,4

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,7

This season — Super League · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 52%

20%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

60%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,4

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

4 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 3

23 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 9. · Olympiakos 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	PAOK	7	4	3	0	+4	15
3	Xanthi	6	5	0	1	+3	15
4	OFI Crete	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Volos NFC	7	4	0	3	-4	12
6	Larisa	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	AEK	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Atromitos	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Aris Thessalonikis	5	1	2	2	+2	5
10	Aris	6	1	2	3	+1	5
11	Panathinaikos	7	1	2	4	-10	5
12	Panionios	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	Lamia	5	0	3	2	-4	3
14	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	0	5	-5	3
15	Panetolikos	5	0	0	5	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	OFI Crete	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Volos NFC	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Xanthi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Aris	4	1	1	2	+2	4
8	Larisa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	AEK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Lamia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Panionios	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Panathinaikos	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Panetolikos	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Xanthi	4	3	0	1	+0	9
2	PAOK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	AEK	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Larisa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	OFI Crete	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Panathinaikos	4	1	1	2	-7	4
9	Volos NFC	3	1	0	2	-6	3
10	Aris	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Aris Thessalonikis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Panionios	3	0	1	2	-4	1
13	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	0	3	-4	0
14	Lamia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
15	Panetolikos	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.