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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Lorient

U S T U T

0–3

Full-time

Montpellier

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,98 xG 2,85

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 8

7 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 16. · Montpellier 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	7	4	2	1	+8	+5.7	14
2	Brest	7	4	2	1	+2	+1.9	14
3	Reims	7	4	1	2	+5	+2.8	13
4	Nice	7	3	4	0	+4	+4.9	13
5	Paris SG	7	3	3	1	+8	+8.3	12
6	Lille	7	3	2	2	+1	+3.7	11
7	Strasbourg	7	3	1	3	-2	+0.2	10
8	Le Havre	7	2	3	2	+1	-2.7	9
9	Toulouse	7	2	3	2	+1	-7.1	9
10	Marseille	7	2	3	2	-2	+4.3	9
11	Rennes	6	1	5	0	+4	+4.9	8
12	Nantes	6	2	2	2	+0	-5.3	8
13	Metz	7	2	2	3	-6	-6.1	8
14	Lens	7	2	1	4	-5	+0.6	7
15	Montpellier	6	1	3	2	+0	+1.0	6
16	Lorient	6	1	3	2	-2	-4.2	6
17	Clermont	7	0	2	5	-7	-4.0	2
18	Lyon	7	0	2	5	-10	-8.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	0	1	+6	+1.8	9
2	Paris SG	4	2	1	1	+5	+3.1	7
3	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.5	7
4	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+2	+3.5	7
5	Brest	3	2	1	0	+2	+4.9	7
6	Reims	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.6	6
7	Lille	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.9	6
8	Nice	4	1	3	0	+2	+4.6	6
9	Le Havre	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.3	6
10	Rennes	3	1	2	0	+4	+6.2	5
11	Lorient	3	1	2	0	+3	-1.4	5
12	Toulouse	3	1	2	0	+3	-1.4	5
13	Nantes	4	1	2	1	+1	-3.7	5
14	Lens	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.3	4
15	Metz	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.3	2
16	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.7	2
17	Clermont	4	0	1	3	-4	-2.9	1
18	Lyon	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Reims	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.9	7
2	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.3	7
3	Brest	4	2	1	1	+0	-3.0	7
4	Metz	4	2	0	2	-5	-5.8	6
5	Paris SG	3	1	2	0	+3	+5.2	5
6	Monaco	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.9	5
7	Lille	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.8	5
8	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.3	4
9	Toulouse	4	1	1	2	-2	-5.6	4
10	Le Havre	3	0	3	0	+0	-4.0	3
11	Rennes	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.3	3
12	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
13	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.3	3
14	Lens	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.7	3
15	Marseille	4	0	2	2	-5	+1.8	2
16	Clermont	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
17	Lyon	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.6	1
18	Lorient	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.