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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Nurnberg
S S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Magdeburg
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,7
4,7
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 86%
86%
86%
Average goals
3,4
4,3
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 21
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Magdeburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 8 4 4 0 +8 16
2 Hamburg 8 5 1 2 +7 16
3 Hannover 8 4 3 1 +11 15
4 Holstein Kiel 8 5 0 3 +0 15
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 2 2 +8 14
6 Kaiserslautern 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Magdeburg 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Hansa Rostock 8 4 0 4 -2 12
9 Paderborn 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Elversberg 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Hertha 8 3 0 5 +1 9
12 Nurnberg 7 2 3 2 -2 9
13 Greuther Furth 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Karlsruhe 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Wehen 8 2 2 4 -4 8
16 Schalke 04 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Braunschweig 8 1 2 5 -7 5
18 Osnabruck 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Magdeburg
11′
🟨 Silas Gnaka
30′
🟨 Luc Castaignos
Florian Flick 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
F. Lohkemper 🔁
↦ L. Schleimer
46′
1–0 F. Lohkemper
J. Gyamerah
46′
50′
🟨 Jan Luca Schuler
56′
🔁 Daniel Elfadli
↦ A. Arslan
56′
🔁 J. Çeka
↦ L. Schuler
Jan Gyamerah 🟨
61′
Iván Márquez 🟨
64′
Benjamin Goller ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
67′
68′
🔁 A. Hoti
↦ C. Piccini
68′
🔁 C. Krempicki
↦ A. Condé
Mats Møller Dæhli 🟨
72′
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ M. Møller Dæhli
76′
80′
🔁 A. Nollenberger
↦ L. Bell Bell
Jens Castrop 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Barış Atik
91′
🟨 Jason Ceka
J. Geis 🔁
↦ B. Goller
95′
F. Hübner 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
95′
Christian Mathenia 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
15 Iván Márquez D
3 A. Gürleyen D
29 T. Handwerker D
10 M. Møller Dæhli M
17 J. Castrop M
6 F. Flick M
14 B. Goller F
36 L. Schleimer F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
7 F. Lohkemper
42 C. Uzun
5 J. Geis
19 F. Hübner
46 J. Kania
22 E. Valentini
1 C. Klaus
38 J. Horn
23 J. Hungbo

Coach: C. Fiél

Magdeburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
25 S. Gnaka D
15 D. Heber D
7 H. Bockhorn M
8 A. Arslan M
29 A. Condé M
19 L. Bell Bell M
26 L. Schuler F
23 B. Atik F
9 L. Castaignos F
Bench (9)
6 Daniel Elfadli
10 J. Çeka
3 A. Hoti
13 C. Krempicki
17 A. Nollenberger
30 N. Kruth
5 J. Lawrence
20 X. Amaechi
37 T. Ito

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,66
B
2,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.