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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Benevento
S S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Napoli
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,8
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
This season — Serie A · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
5,0
4,3
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
3,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 15
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 11. · Napoli 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 Sassuolo 5 3 2 0 +7 11
3 Inter 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +11 9
5 Atalanta 5 3 0 2 +3 9
6 Sampdoria 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Verona 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Roma 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Cagliari 5 2 1 2 -2 7
10 Lazio 5 2 1 2 -3 7
11 Benevento 4 2 0 2 -4 6
12 Juventus 3 1 2 0 +3 5
13 Fiorentina 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Spezia 4 1 1 2 -4 4
15 Genoa 4 1 1 2 -5 4
16 Bologna 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Parma 4 1 0 3 -5 3
19 Torino 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Crotone 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Napoli
1–0 R. Insigne
G. Lapadula
30′
Gianluca Caprari 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
A. Tuia 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
53′
Daam Foulon 🟨
57′
58′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ D. Mertens
58′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ H. Lozano
60′
L. Insigne 1–1
M. Politano
M. Sau 🔁
↦ G. Lapadula
64′
R. Improta 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
64′
C. Maggio 🔁
↦ D. Foulon
64′
67′
A. Petagna 1–2
M. Politano
74′
🔁 D. Demme
↦ T. Bakayoko
G. Di Serio 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
77′
Kamil Glik 🟨
85′
88′
🔁 S. Lobotka
↦ Fabián Ruiz
88′
🔁 F. Ghoulam
↦ L. Insigne
90′
🟨 Matteo Politano
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Benevento

4-3-2-1
1 L. Montipò G
15 K. Glik D
5 L. Caldirola D
3 G. Letizia D
18 D. Foulon D
29 A. Ioniţă M
28 P. Schiattarella M
14 B. Dabo M
9 G. Lapadula F
17 G. Caprari M
19 R. Insigne M
Bench (12)
13 A. Tuia
25 M. Sau
16 R. Improta
11 C. Maggio
20 G. Di Serio
10 N. Viola
22 I. Lucatelli
8 A. Tello
58 C. Pastina
12 N. Manfredini
56 P. Hetemaj
6 A. Basit

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Napoli

4-2-3-1
1 A. Meret G
44 K. Manolas D
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
5 T. Bakayoko M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Mertens M
24 L. Insigne M
11 H. Lozano M
9 V. Osimhen F
Bench (11)
37 A. Petagna
21 M. Politano
4 D. Demme
68 S. Lobotka
31 F. Ghoulam
33 A. Rrahmani
16 N. Contini Baranovsky
25 D. Ospina
2 K. Malcuit
19 N. Maksimović
23 E. Hysaj

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,11
U
5,51
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.