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Super League
Referee: T Tzilos
Ionikos
S U T U T
3–2
Full-time
PAOK
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ionikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ionikos 11. · PAOK 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 10 2 0 +14 32
2 AEK 12 8 2 2 +11 26
3 Aris Thessalonikis 11 6 2 3 +3 20
4 Aris 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 Giannina 12 5 4 3 +12 19
6 PAOK 12 6 1 5 +5 19
7 OFI Crete 13 4 7 2 +2 19
8 Panathinaikos 12 5 2 5 +9 17
9 Volos NFC 13 4 2 7 -5 14
10 Asteras Tripolis 11 3 4 4 +1 13
11 Ionikos 12 3 4 5 -5 13
12 Panetolikos 13 3 2 8 -15 11
13 Lamia 12 2 4 6 -5 10
14 Atromitos 13 2 3 8 -14 9
15 Apollon 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ionikos PAOK
18′
⚽ K. Świderski 0–1
Lucas Taylor
1–1 Cañas ⚽
20′
22′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
2–1 Aias Aosman ⚽
34′
Georgios Valerianos 🟨
42′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 R. Lenis ⚽
G. Kiakos
49′
54′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ A. Esiti
55′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ D. Biseswar
60′
⚽ T. Murg 3–2
Sidcley
Giannis Kiakos 🟨
61′
L. Matsoukas 🔁
↦ Cañas
68′
G. Gotsoulias 🔁
↦ G. Kiakos
69′
73′
🔁 Douglas Augusto
↦ Lucas Taylor
76′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
G. Manalis 🔁
↦ Aias Aosman
77′
85′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ G. Michailidis
N. Vafeas 🔁
↦ R. Lenis
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ionikos

3-1-4-2
94 E. Choutesiotis G
16 D. Chygrynskiy D
15 G. Valerianos D
23 S. Sánchez D
24 A. Romao M
87 Cañas M
7 Aias Aosman M
22 G. Migas D
10 Dálcio M
92 R. Lenis M
31 G. Kiakos
Bench (9)
20 L. Matsoukas
6 G. Gotsoulias
9 G. Manalis
5 N. Vafeas
11 Jerson Cabral
32 D. Konstantinidis
1 A. Anagnostopoulos
21 V. Poghosyan
4 K. Tsirigotis

Coach: D. Spanos

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
5 Fernando Varela D
16 Sidcley D
13 Lucas Taylor D
49 G. Michailidis D
21 D. Biseswar M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
27 J. Kurtič M
44 A. Esiti M
14 A. Živković F
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
22 S. Schwab
10 T. Murg
8 Douglas Augusto
47 C. Akpom
65 I. Konstantelias
19 L. Lyratzis
6 E. Mihaj
4 S. Ingason
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,30
U
4,00
B
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

T Tzilos · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
33,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.