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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Ross County
U T U T T
2–3
Full-time
St Mirren
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · St Mirren 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +8 19
2 Hearts 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Hibernian 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Motherwell 8 4 2 2 +2 14
5 Dundee United 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Celtic 8 4 1 3 +13 13
7 St Mirren 8 2 4 2 -5 10
8 ST Johnstone 9 2 3 4 -3 9
9 Aberdeen 8 2 2 4 -2 8
10 Livingston 9 2 1 6 -7 7
11 Ross County 8 0 3 5 -10 3
12 Dundee 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
15′
⚽ E. Brophy 0–1
E. Erhahon
34′
⚽ M. Fraser 0–2
S. Tanser
1–2 B. Spittal ⚽
37′
38′
⚽ S. Tanser 1–3
J. Alnwick
Half-time 1–3
Jack Baldwin 🟨
48′
B. Paton 🔁
↦ J. Burroughs
56′
J. White 🔁
↦ A. Samuel
56′
2–3 A. Iacovitti ⚽
H. Clarke
66′
68′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ E. Erhahon
71′
🟨 Ryan Flynn
J. Hungbo 🔁
↦ D. Cancola
71′
73′
🔁 R. Tait
↦ S. Tanser
74′
🔁 C. Main
↦ J. McGrath
Ross Callachan 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Ross County

4-3-3
31 A. Maynard-Brewer G
5 J. Baldwin D
16 A. Iacovitti D
8 R. Callachan M
7 B. Spittal F
4 D. Cancola M
6 H. Paton M
20 H. Clarke D
18 J. Burroughs D
9 A. Samuel F
17 R. Charles-Cook F
Bench (7)
24 B. Paton
26 J. White
23 J. Hungbo
22 J. Tillson
15 K. Watson
10 D. Samuel
1 R. Laidlaw

Coach: M. Mackay

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
7 J. McGrath F
43 C. Ronan F
44 M. Millar M
16 E. Erhahon M
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
8 R. Flynn
2 R. Tait
10 C. Main
17 K. McAllister
26 D. Lyness
20 K. Dennis
18 C. Dunne

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,11
U
3,34
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.