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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Celtic
S S T U T
2–1
Full-time
Motherwell
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 65%
86%
43%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 29%
14%
43%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,6
1,0
Conceded
0,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 2. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +12 19
2 Celtic 7 6 0 1 +22 18
3 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
4 St Mirren 7 4 0 3 +0 12
5 Livingston 7 4 0 3 -3 12
6 Hibernian 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Aberdeen 7 3 1 3 +4 10
8 Motherwell 7 3 1 3 -2 10
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 7 1 1 5 -9 4
12 Dundee United 7 0 2 5 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celtic Motherwell
1–0 K. Furuhashi
15′
27′
🟨 Ricki Lamie
36′
J. Juranović 2–0
own goal
42′
🟨 Kevin van Veen
Half-time 2–0
Stephen Welsh 🟨
52′
60′
🟨 Matt Penney
3–0 R. Hatate
Jota
64′
L. Abada 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
65′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
65′
69′
🔁 L. Moult
↦ K. van Veen
69′
🔁 S. McKinstry
↦ D. Cornelius
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
80′
80′
🔁 J. Morris
↦ S. Goss
80′
🔁 R. Tierney
↦ B. Spittal
Callum McGregor 🟥
89′
A. Mooy 🔁
↦ Jota
91′
O. Abildgaard 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
91′
94′
🟨 Connor Shields
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
88 J. Juranović D
57 S. Welsh D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
17 Jota F
Bench (9)
11 L. Abada
14 D. Turnbull
9 S. Hakšabanović
13 A. Mooy
28 O. Abildgaard
49 J. Forrest
25 A. Bernabei
31 B. Siegrist
56 A. Ralston

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
15 S. Johansen D
4 R. Lamie D
24 M. Penney D
6 B. Maguire M
27 S. Goss M
29 C. Shields M
18 D. Cornelius M
7 B. Spittal M
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
21 L. Moult
17 S. McKinstry
23 J. Morris
26 R. Tierney
13 A. Oxborough
2 S. O'Donnell
47 L. Ross
38 L. Miller
5 B. Mugabi

Coach: S. Hammell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
9,08
B
19,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.