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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Motherwell
S U S T S
3–0
Full-time
Livingston
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
30%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
53%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Livingston 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 29 1 1 +75 88
2 Rangers 31 24 4 3 +46 76
3 Hearts 30 13 6 11 +5 45
4 Aberdeen 30 14 2 14 -5 44
5 St Mirren 30 11 8 11 -8 41
6 Hibernian 30 12 4 14 -3 40
7 Livingston 30 11 6 13 -16 39
8 Motherwell 30 9 6 15 -6 33
9 ST Johnstone 31 9 5 17 -18 32
10 Kilmarnock 30 7 7 16 -26 28
11 Ross County 31 7 6 18 -18 27
12 Dundee United 30 5 7 18 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -23 Livingston – Motherwell 1–1 20. Aug -22 Motherwell – Livingston 1–0 9. Apr -22 Livingston – Motherwell 2–2 26. Dec -21 Motherwell – Livingston 2–1 21. Aug -21 Livingston – Motherwell 1–2

Match report

Motherwell Livingston
1–0 K. van Veen ⚽
J. Furlong
9′
2–0 K. van Veen ⚽
M. Johnston
33′
3–0 M. Johnston ⚽
B. Spittal
34′
Blair Spittal ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
36′
37′
🟨 Kurtis Guthrie
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Boyes
↦ L. de Lucas
R. Lamie 🔁
↦ C. Butcher
58′
H. Paton 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
65′
69′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ J. Holt
69′
🔁 D. Bahamboula
↦ S. Bradley
69′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ K. Guthrie
S. O'Donnell 🔁
↦ M. Johnston
81′
J. Aitchison 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
81′
C. Slattery 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
81′
83′
🔁 J. Brandon
↦ J. Penrice
Kevin van Veen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
Stephen O'Donnell 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
22 M. Johnston M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
9 K. van Veen F
21 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
4 R. Lamie
53 H. Paton
2 S. O'Donnell
15 J. Aitchison
8 C. Slattery
13 A. Oxborough
17 S. McKinstry
5 B. Mugabi
20 S. Blaney

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Livingston

5-3-2
1 S. George G
16 S. Bradley D
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
23 L. de Lucas D
29 J. Penrice D
17 S. Kelly M
33 S. Oméonga M
18 J. Holt M
19 J. Nouble F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (8)
15 M. Boyes
22 A. Shinnie
7 D. Bahamboula
9 B. Anderson
12 J. Brandon
24 S. Kelly
8 S. Pittman
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
🔒
U
3,31
🔒
B
3,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,10
🔒
U2,5
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.