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Premier League

Referee: R Jones

Nott'm Forest

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

West Ham

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 19. · West Ham 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.