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Premiership
Referee: C Scott
Kilmarnock
T S T T U
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
0,7
Conceded
3,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 12. · Hibernian 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Rangers 4 2 1 1 +4 7
4 Motherwell 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Dundee 4 1 3 0 +2 6
6 Dundee United 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 St Mirren 4 1 1 2 -2 4
8 ST Johnstone 4 1 0 3 -1 3
9 Ross County 4 0 2 2 -7 2
10 Hearts 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Hibernian 3 0 1 2 -5 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Hibernian
Corrie Ndaba 🟨
8′
Half-time 0–1
50′
J. Newell 0–1
M. Boyle
Matthew Kennedy 🟨
58′
62′
🔁 N. Cadden
↦ R. Molotnikov
63′
🟨 Mykola Kukharevych
70′
🟨 Jordan Obita
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
73′
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
73′
F. Murray 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
73′
J. Burroughs 🔁
↦ C. Ndaba
73′
B. Wales 🔁
↦ D. Watson
73′
74′
🔁 C. Cadden
↦ M. Boyle
74′
🔁 K. Bowie
↦ M. Kuharevich
86′
🟨 Lewis Miller
1–1 B. Anderson
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 K. O'Hara G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
31 L. Polworth M
10 M. Kennedy M
9 K. Vassell F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
18 I. Cameron
7 R. McKenzie
15 F. Murray
2 J. Burroughs
24 B. Wales
20 R. McCrorie
51 O. Bainbridge
6 R. Deas
14 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: D. McInnes

Hibernian

4-3-3
1 J. Bursik G
2 L. Miller D
4 M. Ekpiteta D
5 W. O'Hora D
21 J. Obita D
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
26 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle F
99 M. Kuharevich F
35 R. Molotnikov F
Bench (9)
19 N. Cadden
12 C. Cadden
20 K. Bowie
17 H. McKirdy
6 D. Levitt
33 R. Bushiri
32 J. Campbell
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
13 J. Smith

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,30
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Scott · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.