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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Wolfsburg
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,2
4,5
Scored
3,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 4. · Paderborn 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -3 1
12 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 -3 1
13 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -4 1
14 Union Berlin 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Paderborn 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Mainz 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Paderborn
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
11′
12′
Cauly 0–1
S. Mamba
Half-time 0–1
A. Mehmedi 🔁
↦ João Victor
56′
1–1 J. Brekalo
W. Weghorst
56′
63′
🟨 Uwe Hünemeier
66′
🔁 A. Sabiri
↦ S. Mamba
80′
🔁 G. Holtmann
↦ Cauly
86′
🔁 B. Zolinski
↦ S. Michel
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
87′
88′
🟨 Gerrit Holtmann
90′
🟨 Klaus Gjasula
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon M
25 J. Brooks D
2 William M
23 J. Guilavogui D
27 M. Arnold M
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo F
9 W. Weghorst F
40 João Victor F
Bench (9)
13 Y. Gerhardt
14 A. Mehmedi
11 F. Klaus
8 R. Steffen
32 M. Tisserand
12 P. Pervan
19 K. Mbabu
5 J. Bruma
22 L. Nmecha

Coach: O. Glasner

Paderborn

4-4-2
21 J. Huth G
2 U. Hünemeier D
5 C. Strohdiek D
29 J. Collins D
22 C. Antwi-Adjej M
8 K. Gjasula M
11 S. Michel F
10 Cauly M
25 M. Dräger D
39 S. Vasiliadis M
30 S. Mamba F
Bench (9)
19 A. Sabiri
38 G. Holtmann
31 B. Zolinski
9 K. Pröger
1 M. Ratajczak
27 B. Gueye
20 L. Jans
24 R. Kapič
15 L. Kilian

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,46
U ✓
4,85
B
6,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.