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Referee: D Orsato

U T U T S

4–3

Full-time

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

0%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

4,2

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

0%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

0%

100%

Average goals

1,0

7,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 7. · Napoli 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Mar -19 Napoli – Juventus 1–2 29. Sep -18 Juventus – Napoli 3–1 22. Apr -18 Juventus – Napoli 0–1 1. Dec -17 Napoli – Juventus 0–1 2. Apr -17 Napoli – Juventus 1–1

Match report

Juventus Napoli

Danilo 🔁

↦ Mattia De Sciglio

15′

1–0 Danilo ⚽

Douglas Costa

16′

2–0 Gonzalo Higuaín ⚽

19′

40′

🟨 Faouzi Ghoulam

44′

🟨 Giovanni Di Lorenzo

Half-time 2–0

46′

🔁 Hirving Lozano

↦ Lorenzo Insigne

46′

🔁 Mário Rui

↦ Faouzi Ghoulam

Blaise Matuidi 🟨

52′

Emre Can 🔁

↦ Sami Khedira

60′

3–0 Cristiano Ronaldo ⚽

Douglas Costa

62′

66′

⚽ Konstantinos Manolas 3–1

Mário Rui

68′

⚽ Hirving Lozano 3–2

Piotr Zieliński

74′

🔁 Eljif Elmas

↦ Allan

Paulo Dybala 🔁

↦ Gonzalo Higuaín

76′

Alex Sandro 🟨

80′

81′

⚽ Giovanni Di Lorenzo 3–3

José Callejón

Douglas Costa 🟨

83′

3–4 Kalidou Koulibaly ⚽

own goal

90′

90′

🟨 Eljif Elmas

Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Juventus

4-3-3

1

Wojciech Szczęsny G

2 Mattia De Sciglio D

19 Leonardo Bonucci D

4 Matthijs De Ligt D

12 Alex Sandro D

6 Sami Khedira M

5 Miralem Pjanić M

14 Blaise Matuidi M

11 Douglas Costa F

21 Gonzalo Higuaín F

7 Cristiano Ronaldo F

Bench (12)

31 Carlo Pinsoglio

77 Gianluigi Buffon

13 Danilo

28 Merih Demiral

24 Daniele Rugani

23 Emre Can

16 Juan Cuadrado

25 Adrien Rabiot

33 Federico Bernardeschi

30 Rodrigo Bentancur

17 Mario Mandžukić

10 Paulo Dybala

Coach: M. Sarri

Napoli

4-4-1-1

1

Alex Meret G

22

Giovanni Di Lorenzo D

44 Konstantinos Manolas D

26 Kalidou Koulibaly D

31 Faouzi Ghoulam D

7 José Callejón M

20

Piotr Zieliński M

5 Allan M

24

Lorenzo Insigne M

8

Fabián Ruiz F

14 Dries Mertens F

Bench (12)

25 David Ospina

27 Orestis Karnezis

13 Sebastiano Luperto

23 Elseid Hysaj

6 Mário Rui

19 Nikola Maksimović

2 Kévin Malcuit

12 Eljif Elmas

70 Gianluca Gaetano

11 Hirving Lozano

9 Simone Verdi

34 Amin Younes

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,98

🔒

U

3,35

🔒

B

4,13

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

2,05

🔒

U2,5

1,77

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

24. Aug SA 7 years ago

26. May SA 7 years ago

19. May SA 7 years ago

12. May SA 7 years ago

3. May SA 7 years ago

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,8 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.