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Ligue 2

Lorient

S S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Guingamp

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 8

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 2. · Guingamp 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Valenciennes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Clermont	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Niort	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Troyes	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Ajaccio	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Rodez	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Chambly	5	2	3	0	+2	9
10	Auxerre	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Sochaux	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Lens	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Nancy	6	1	4	1	-2	7
14	Caen	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	Guingamp	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Grenoble	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Le Mans	6	1	0	5	-4	3
18	Orleans	6	0	2	4	-4	2
19	Chateauroux	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Paris FC	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sochaux	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Rodez	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Valenciennes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Nancy	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Chambly	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Le Havre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Niort	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Ajaccio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Troyes	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Le Mans	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Paris FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chateauroux	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Caen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Orleans	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Troyes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Lorient	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Niort	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Valenciennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Clermont	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Ajaccio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Caen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Chambly	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Lens	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Orleans	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Rodez	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Grenoble	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Auxerre	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Sochaux	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Chateauroux	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Le Mans	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Paris FC	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.