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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Augsburg
T S U T T
2–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,0
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
71%
86%
Both score Ø 79%
86%
71%
Average goals
3,9
4,0
Scored
1,1
2,9
Conceded
2,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

21% Possession 79%
9 Shots 24
7 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Bayern Munich 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 7 5 1 1 +9 16
2 Wolfsburg 7 4 3 0 +6 15
3 Bayern Munich 7 4 2 1 +12 14
4 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 RB Leipzig 7 4 2 1 +8 14
6 Schalke 04 7 4 2 1 +7 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +4 14
8 Leverkusen 8 4 2 2 +1 14
9 Dortmund 7 3 3 1 +8 12
10 Hertha 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Werder Bremen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
12 Hoffenheim 7 2 2 3 -5 8
13 Mainz 7 2 0 5 -10 6
14 Augsburg 7 1 2 4 -11 5
15 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 1 1 5 -5 4
16 Union Berlin 7 1 1 5 -7 4
17 FC Koln 7 1 1 5 -11 4
18 Paderborn 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Bayern Munich
1–0 M. Richter ⚽
R. Khedira
1′
12′
🔁 D. Alaba
↦ N. Süle
14′
⚽ R. Lewandowski 1–1
S. Gnabry
37′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
42′
🟨 Thiago Alcántara
Half-time 1–2
49′
⚽ S. Gnabry 1–2
Philippe Coutinho
Marco Richter 🟨
63′
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ R. Oxford
63′
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
68′
Rani Khedira 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ Philippe Coutinho
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ M. Richter
82′
84′
🟨 Javi Martínez
86′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ S. Gnabry
Tomáš Koubek 🟨
90′
2–2 A. Finnbogason ⚽
S. Córdova
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-1-4-1
21 T. Koubek G
2 S. Lichtsteiner D
18 T. Jedvaj D
31 P. Max D
19 F. Uduokhai D
36 R. Oxford M
14 J. Morávek M
8 R. Khedira M
7 F. Niederlechner F
23 M. Richter M
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
27 A. Finnbogason
9 S. Córdova
22 Iago
28 A. Hahn
1 A. Luthe
32 R. Framberger
6 J. Gouweleeuw
20 J. Schieber

Coach: M. Schmidt

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
4 N. Süle D
32 J. Kimmich D
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
8 Javi Martínez M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
10 Philippe Coutinho M
22 S. Gnabry M
29 K. Coman M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (8)
27 D. Alaba
25 T. Müller
18 L. Goretzka
14 I. Perišić
19 A. Davies
17 J. Boateng
24 C. Tolisso
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
16,44
U ✓
8,18
B
1,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,28
U2,5
3,64
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.