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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
A. Klagenfurt
U S T S S
2–1
Full-time
A. Lustenau
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt A. Lustenau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 7. · A. Lustenau 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 10 7 2 1 +18 23
2 Sturm Graz 10 6 3 1 +12 21
3 LASK 10 5 4 1 +8 19
4 Austria Vienna 10 4 3 3 +1 15
5 SK Rapid 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 Wolfsberger AC 10 4 2 4 +1 14
7 A. Klagenfurt 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 A. Lustenau 10 3 3 4 -6 12
9 Tirol 10 3 2 5 -6 11
10 Altach 10 2 2 6 -11 8
11 Hartberg 9 2 1 6 -9 7
12 Ried 10 1 2 7 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Klagenfurt A. Lustenau
1–0 K. Gkezos ⚽
A. Irving
15′
44′
🟨 Cem Türkmen
Half-time 1–0
Till Schumacher 🟨
49′
62′
🔁 Y. Diaby
↦ C. Türkmen
2–0 K. Gkezos ⚽
C. Wernitznig
64′
S. Bonnah 🔁
↦ S. Karweina
68′
74′
🔁 A. Schmid
↦ L. Fridrikas
74′
🔁 Y. Bellache
↦ S. Surdanović
77′
🟨 Yuliwes Bellache
J. Arweiler 🔁
↦ M. Pink
78′
79′
🔁 D. Grujčić
↦ H. Guenouche
Kosmas Gezos 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 Adriel
↦ P. Grabher
N. Đorić 🔁
↦ K. Gkezos
82′
87′
⚽ A. Schmid 2–1
Y. Diaby
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

A. Klagenfurt

4-3-3
13 P. Menzel G
24 C. Wernitznig D
31 T. Mahrer D
37 N. Wimmer D
33 T. Schumacher D
19 A. Irving M
8 K. Gkezos M
14 C. Cvetko M
9 S. Karweina F
32 M. Pink F
23 F. Rieder F
Bench (7)
2 S. Bonnah
39 J. Arweiler
4 N. Đorić
6 M. Moreira
1 M. Knaller
5 M. Blauensteiner
20 R. Benatelli

Coach: P. Pacult

A. Lustenau

4-2-3-1
27 D. Schierl G
28 Anderson D
31 M. Maak D
5 J. Hugonet D
12 H. Guenouche D
8 C. Türkmen M
23 P. Grabher M
20 L. Fridrikas M
16 T. Rhein M
10 Bryan Teixeira M
70 S. Surdanović F
Bench (7)
22 Y. Diaby
18 A. Schmid
69 Y. Bellache
6 D. Grujčić
35 Adriel
4 T. Berger
13 A. Helac

Coach: M. Mader

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.