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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
2–1
Full-time
Tirol
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 12. · Tirol 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 SK Rapid 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Salzburg 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Sturm Graz 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Altach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Tirol 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 A. Lustenau 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Ried 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Hartberg 3 1 0 2 -2 3
10 Wolfsberger AC 3 0 2 1 -4 2
11 A. Klagenfurt 3 0 1 2 -3 1
12 Austria Vienna 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Tirol
1–0 H. Tabaković
D. Fitz
20′
Lucas Galvão ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
32′
Lucas Galvão 🟥
33′
B. Koumetio 🔁
↦ H. Tabaković
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Fitz
M. Braunöder
49′
55′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ D. Štumberger
58′
T. Prica 2–1
L. Sulzbacher
A. Jukic 🔁
↦ F. Wustinger
63′
C. Keles 🔁
↦ D. Fitz
63′
77′
🟨 Valentino Müller
80′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ V. Müller
80′
🔁 D. Tomic
↦ Ž. Rogelj
M. Djuricin 🔁
↦ M. Huskovic
84′
85′
🔁 J. Forst
↦ S. Ogrinec
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-4-1-1
1 C. Früchtl G
26 R. Ranftl D
20 L. Mühl D
3 Lucas Galvão D
66 M. Martins D
30 M. Fischer M
23 M. Braunöder M
22 F. Wustinger M
9 M. Huskovic M
36 D. Fitz F
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (7)
89 B. Koumetio
77 A. Jukic
7 C. Keles
10 M. Djuricin
99 M. Kos
27 R. Vucic
11 M. Polster

Coach: M. Schmid

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
30 R. Behounek D
26 D. Štumberger D
44 K. Schulz D
21 Ž. Rogelj M
10 B. Blume M
4 V. Müller M
98 S. Ogrinec M
33 T. Prica F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
14 A. Ranacher
17 J. Naschberger
18 D. Tomic
19 J. Forst
27 D. Jaunegg
13 B. Ozegovic
20 C. Üstündag

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.