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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Winterthur

T S U T U

3–4

Full-time

Luzern

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

18%

41%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

47%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 28

5 Shots on target 12

6 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 3

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 11. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	17	9	4	4	+9	+2.5	31
2	Basel	17	9	3	5	+22	+11.5	30
3	Servette	17	8	5	4	+3	-0.2	29
4	Lausanne	17	8	3	6	+6	+9.4	27
5	Zurich	17	7	6	4	+1	-2.8	27
6	Luzern	17	7	5	5	+2	+1.8	26
7	Sion	17	6	5	6	+3	+6.8	23
8	St. Gallen	17	5	7	5	+4	-5.0	22
9	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-5	+1.6	20
10	Yverdon	17	4	5	8	-11	-11.3	17
11	Winterthur	17	3	4	10	-23	-13.4	13
12	Grasshoppers	17	2	6	9	-11	-0.8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	9	7	0	2	+11	+8.6	21
2	Lugano	8	6	1	1	+10	+5.5	19
3	Servette	9	5	3	1	+4	+1.8	18
4	Sion	9	4	4	1	+8	+9.8	16
5	Basel	8	5	1	2	+8	+9.3	16
6	St. Gallen	9	3	5	1	+7	+0.4	14
7	Young Boys	8	4	2	2	+3	-1.8	14
8	Luzern	9	4	2	3	+2	+5.1	14
9	Zurich	8	3	4	1	+3	-2.3	13
10	Yverdon	8	3	1	4	-5	-3.1	10
11	Winterthur	8	3	1	4	-8	-3.2	10
12	Grasshoppers	9	1	5	3	-3	+3.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	9	4	2	3	+14	+2.1	14
2	Zurich	9	4	2	3	-2	-0.4	14
3	Luzern	8	3	3	2	+0	-3.3	12
4	Lugano	9	3	3	3	-1	-3.1	12
5	Servette	8	3	2	3	-1	-2.0	11
6	St. Gallen	8	2	2	4	-3	-5.5	8
7	Sion	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.0	7
8	Yverdon	9	1	4	4	-6	-8.3	7
9	Lausanne	8	1	3	4	-5	+0.8	6
10	Young Boys	9	1	3	5	-8	+3.4	6
11	Grasshoppers	8	1	1	6	-8	-4.2	4
12	Winterthur	9	0	3	6	-15	-10.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.