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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Winterthur
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Young Boys
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
13%
39%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
52%
65%
Both score Ø 59%
48%
70%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,28 xG 1,02
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Young Boys 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 24 12 6 6 +9 +5.7 42
2 Basel 23 12 4 7 +25 +15.8 40
3 Luzern 24 11 6 7 +5 +5.1 39
4 Servette 23 9 9 5 +3 +0.4 36
5 Lausanne 23 10 5 8 +10 +12.0 35
6 St. Gallen 23 9 8 6 +7 -3.9 35
7 Young Boys 23 9 7 7 +6 +8.7 34
8 Zurich 24 9 6 9 -3 -5.7 33
9 Sion 24 8 6 10 -4 +2.4 30
10 Grasshoppers 23 4 10 9 -9 -7.7 22
11 Yverdon 23 5 6 12 -18 -16.2 21
12 Winterthur 23 3 5 15 -31 -16.6 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Young Boys
34′
🟨 Zachary Athekame
39′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Blum
↦ Z. Athekame
56′
🔁 Ł. Łakomy
↦ C. Fassnacht
66′
🔁 E. Colley
↦ A. Virginius
66′
🔁 M. Chaiwa
↦ R. Raveloson
B. Stillhart 🔁
↦ F. Frei
76′
S. Cueni 🔁
↦ A. Durrer
76′
76′
🔁 Abdu Conté
↦ J. Hadjam
M. Di Giusto 🔁
↦ C. Gomis
82′
L. Bajrami 🔁
↦ A. Baroan
82′
1–0 M. Di Giusto ⚽
84′
Labinot Bajrami 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Winterthur

3-5-2
1 S. Kapino G
16 R. Arnold D
21 L. Lüthi D
5 L. Mühl D
24 S. Sidler M
7 L. Zuffi M
22 A. Durrer M
20 F. Frei M
19 D. Ulrich M
15 C. Gomis F
28 A. Baroan F
Bench (9)
4 B. Stillhart
44 S. Cueni
10 M. Di Giusto
84 L. Bajrami
30 M. Kuster
6 R. Schneider
18 S. Diaby
9 R. Buess
23 G. Lekaj

Coach: U. Forte

Young Boys

4-2-2-2
33 M. Keller G
24 Z. Athekame D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
3 J. Hadjam D
45 R. Raveloson M
7 F. Ugrinic M
21 A. Virginius M
77 J. Monteiro M
29 C. Bedia F
16 C. Fassnacht F
Bench (9)
27 L. Blum
8 Ł. Łakomy
11 E. Colley
14 M. Chaiwa
22 Abdu Conté
4 T. Zoukrou
30 S. Lauper
26 D. von Ballmoos
9 C. Itten

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

U Schnyder · 151 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.